
Our major sponsors
Sponsor of
Second Opinion
Sponsor of
Community Sketchbook
Our major advertisers
Our in-kind partners

MinnPost thanks these generous donors:
INDIVIDUALS AND FOUNDATI0NS
Blandin Foundation
Otto Bremer Foundation
Bush Foundation
Sage & John Cowles
David & Vicki Cox
Toby & Mae Dayton
Jack & Claire Dempsey
Ethics and Excellence in Journalism Foundation
Sam & Stacey Heins
John S. and James L. Knight Foundation
Joel & Laurie Kramer
Lee Lynch & Terry Saario
Martin & Brown Foundation
The McKnight Foundation
The Minneapolis Foundation
The Saint Paul Foundation
Rebecca & Mark Shavlik
(See all donors here.)
By David Brauer | Published Mon, Mar 15 2010 3:57 pm
Star Tribune editorialists went out of their way Monday morning to praise Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan’s entitlement-privatization budget — or rather, the readers who didn’t scream about it.
The expected fear and loathing was in short supply. Instead, many of those commenting seemed relieved that someone, somewhere, was proposing something that might actually work: a plan that would stem the nation's red-ink spending and balance its books.(Ryan's plan would take a while — until 2080 — to achieve that goal, but it does get there eventually.)
In this case, fear and loathing may be wise. While the Strib acknowledged Ryan’s budget is too cut-heavy, editorialists ignored more fundamental questions about the deficit-closing benefit.
On Wednesday, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities released an analysis contending that under Ryan's proposal, the deficit would soar, rather than sink.
Though CPBB criticizes Ryan’s regressive spending cuts (such as slicing Medicare outlays 76 percent in real terms by 2080), the deficit problem is on the revenue side. The Congressional Budget Office, which produced the zero-by-2080 estimate, did not look at money coming in, instead accepting Ryan’s revenue assumptions. The CBO's report noted that with multiple caveats, even if the Strib's editorial didn’t.

CBPP, which swings from the left side of the plate, didn’t take Ryan’s revenue claim at face value, asking another D.C. institution, the Tax Policy Center, to analyze the income side of the ledger. The TPC concluded — stop me if you’ve heard this before — that large tax cuts would cause federal revenues to fall significantly (3 percent of Gross Domestic Product) below Ryan’s assumption. You can see the net effect in the chart at right.
Budget geeks should check out the CBPP’s report, Ryan’s response, and the CBPP’s rebuttal here.
I agree with the Strib that folks are longing for a realistic deficit-reducing solution, but rather than Ryan being "one of the rare politicians who believes that Americans are ready to handle the truth," he may be just another politician selling a unicorn — or worse, a Trojan Horse that would shred the social safety net and balloon the deficit. We’ve seen the revenue-side games before, which you'd think would argue for skepticism, no matter how contrarian the plan.
If we truly want to close the deficit, we'll probably have to cut spending and raise taxes. That's not as sexy as Ryan's headline-grabber, but, as the Strib might say, it might actually work.
Like what you just read? Support high-quality journalism in Minnesota by becoming a member of MinnPost.
15 Comments: Hide/Show Comments
Forgot Password? | Register to Comment
MinnPost does not permit the use of foul language, personal attacks or the use of language that may be libelous or interpreted as inciting hate or sexual harassment. User comments are reviewed by moderators to ensure that comments meet these standards and adhere to MinnPost's terms of use and privacy policy.
We intend for this area to be used by our readers as a place for civil, thought-provoking and high-quality public discussion. In order to achieve this, MinnPost requires that all commenters register and post comments with their actual names and place of residence. Register here to comment.