Stephen Hawking aliens alert: a premature or primitive fear?

When Stephen Hawking, one of the world’s leading astrophysicists, worries that alien “nomads” could potentially arrive at Earth “looking to conquer and colonize,” should humanity worry?
Is Mr. Hawking wrong to speculate about whether extraterrestrial life might pose a threat?
Well, at this point, says Fabio Favata of the European Space Agency, such musings are probably premature. There's no data either way.
“Many, many scientists are of the opinion that life is very likely to be common, but, quite frankly, until you discover it, it’s as much a philosophical statement as anything else. As a scientist you base your views on actual measurements,” says Mr. Favata, head of the ESA’s science planning and community coordination office. “Whether there are other life forms or not, I would say, is one of the oldest questions that mankind has asked itself.”
As far back as the third century before Jesus Christ, noted Greek philosopher Epicurus postulated that humans are not alone in the universe. “There are infinite worlds both like and unlike this world of ours. For the atoms being infinite in number, as was already proven, ... there nowhere exists an obstacle to the infinite number of worlds,” he wrote.
Since Epicurus’ time - and especially in the last 20 years - much evidence has emerged to give further credence to scientists like Hawking who theorize that other forms of life exist somewhere in the universe.
New technology and techniques for finding planets has revealed hundreds of extrasolar planets. Moreover, scientists have found that there are a wide variety of solar systems, some with small rocky planets close and others with large gaseous planets close to their star.
Now that scientists understand planets are not rare outside our solar system, the question is how do we find other life forms, if they do indeed exist? To date, scientists have found nothing to prove the assumption that out of an estimated 100 billion galaxies in the universe, some must host extraterrestrial life.
And it's not for lack of trying. A half century ago, Frank Drake started the first SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) program to scan the cosmos for radio signals. We have yet to tune in to an Elvis from the Alpha Centauri system - or any other.
But Hawking does have some company. Fermi scientist Richard Carrigan suggests that we shouldn't be transmitting radio signals willy-nilly into the universe. Who knows who might come to investigate us.
“Before worrying about communicating with extraterrestrials, I think most scientists are first of all trying to establish whether there is any form of extraterrestrial life and that is likely to take, still a certain number of years before one can make any definite statement, and I’m talking here whether there is anything in terms of primitive life let alone intelligent life,” says Favata.
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Comments (5)
Problem with someone going outside of their area of expertise.
Personally, I suspect that any society that is not wise and benevolent would self destruct long before it reached that point. That's our real danger.
"Show me the evidence" - Mr. Hawking
He must also "believe" in man made global warming.
I suspect we need to be aware that, whereas Dr. Hawking is authoritative when he speaks out of his breathtakingly complex contemplations regarding astrophysics and the nature of the universe, he is here, entering into the realm of complete speculation.
As such, his speculations regarding the likelihood of a human encounter with extraterrestrials and the nature of that encounter are likely to be no more nor less accurate than those of our science fiction writers.
Since science fiction has, over the past many decades proven to be prophetic (the question being, of course, which writers are the true prophets and which are false), it seems we have many possibilities:
1) that we will (or already are) being visited by extraterrestrials using the ET and/or Star Trek "prime directive" approach, that it's OK to visit and explore other planets where life exists, but forbidden to interfere in whatever civilizations we find there (that non-interference rarely practiced by the crew of the "Enterprise").
2) that we will be visited (as Hawking fears) by a nomadic group traveling the universe seeking to strip usable resources from whatever planets they encounter (as in the movie "Independence Day."
3) as in the "Ender" series by Orson Scott Card, we will be visited by a variation of group 2 that is so different from us that our civilization is invisible to them and they seek to destroy us without even realizing that they have encountered sentient life.
--there are many others--
Perhaps the reality will be (or already is) something even our science fiction writers have not yet imagined, but my favorite is the decidedly ambiguous, but seemingly benign approach approach taken by the extraterrestrials in the movie "Contact" based on the Carl Sagan novel.
Then again, perhaps Dr. Hawking is only trying to scare us into not wiping out NASA and the space program.
I believe this was part of his popular television program ...
A lot of things are possible, but since the universe has been around a very long time and we have been broadcasting for only 40 years it seems like we would be well back at the end of the line for any alien Viking marauders. You also might wonder why they would make the presence of radio signals a priority in choosing worlds to maraud. But this is television.
If you Google a bit you will find that Hawkings supports the AGW man made global warming and the idea that this may cause a "runaway greenhouse affect" like on Venus (which happens to be a lot closer to the sun than earth with no vegetation to convert CO2 to oxygen).
BTW: SETI has calculated that any radio/TV would be destroyed by background "noise" in space in under three light years.