Gulf oil drilling has high risk, too little reward
In a recent editorial on the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, the Dallas Morning News urged us to continue to drill as before. What else would you expect from a major newspaper in the oil patch? But not only is this a bad idea, a case could even be made to stop all oil production in the Gulf before another disaster befalls us.
As Draconian, radical and potent as this idea may be, there is a strong case to be made for such an action. Foremost in this case is that the risk/reward ratio for continued drilling opts in favor of stopping new oil production there immediately, a program of planned capping of existing wells over a reasonable period of time, and eventually getting oil rigs out of the Gulf altogether before the next tragedy happens.
The Morning News editorial notes: "In the 41 years since the last major offshore oil rig incident, the industry's record, though not perfect, is one of ever-advancing technology and improved safety." This is not entirely correct (on a worldwide scale), and sugarcoats what has been an ongoing saga of oil spills creating serious and tragic cases of environmental damage.
The real dangers and damages
To begin with, there are currently 115 oil rigs operating in the Gulf of Mexico — and each provides an opportunity and exposure for another mishap and major crisis. Many are doing exactly the kind of extreme deep-water drilling the BP platform was doing — and extending technology into areas not entirely understood or well managed by the oil industry (as is the BP situation shows). More important, there are about 500 offshore rigs operating worldwide, and they have been far from safe. Offshore operators continue to spill thousands of barrels of oil, fuel and chemicals into federal waters each year, government records show.
"This is not a zero-risk proposition," said John Rogers Smith, an associate professor of petroleum engineering at Louisiana State University, who monitors such statistics.
Offshore operators have had 40 spills greater than 1,000 barrels since 1964, including 13 in the past 10 years, according to data from the U.S. Minerals Management Service, which oversees exploration and production in federal waters. Moreover, spills from the rigs and actual drilling, are only part of the story. Drilling offshore has other potential dangers:
• Tanker transportation. Oil extracted on the continental shelf accounts for a considerable part (probably at least 50 percent) of annual volumes of oil transported by tankers (the latter constitute over 1 billion tons). On some fields, the shuttle tankers are the main way of delivering hydrocarbons to the onshore terminals. In short, there have been tanker spills ranging from modest to catastrophic virtually annually.
• Storage. Underwater reservoirs for storing liquid hydrocarbons (oil, oil-water mixtures, and gas condensate) are a necessary element of many oil and gas developments. A risk exists of damaging the underwater storage tanks and releasing their contents, especially during tanker-loading operations and under severe weather conditions.
• Pipelines. Complex and extensive systems of underwater pipelines have a total length of thousands of kilometers. They carry oil, gas, condensate, and their mixtures. These pipelines are among the main factors of environmental risk during offshore oil developments. Any number of events can cause leaks, and they do.
All three have a history of problems, dangers and significant damages over the decades, far too lengthy to recite here; coasts, wildlife and the seas have been inundated with pollution continually.
Energy independence
This is among the greatest myths of all regarding offshore drilling. To begin with, the United States has only about 4 percent of the world's oil reserves, and only part of that is offshore in the Gulf. So drilling in that area will never provide us with "energy independence." But what is further lost in this debate is the fact that many of these leases are not even owned by American companies!
The exposure of BP (British Petroleum) underscores this fact. BP, in its corporate documents, states the following:
"London is where BP's corporate headquarters are located, and the UK is therefore a centre for trading, legal, finance and other mainstream business functions. The UK is also home to three of BP's major global research and technology groups."
As an aside, last quarter BP made about $6 billion in net profit — plenty of resources to compensate the residents and workers of the land and industries they are destroying.
Additionally, in a recent auction for Gulf leases, Petrodata, the organization that reports such information noted, "The U.S. Minerals Management Service received over $1.3 billion in bids for Central Gulf of Mexico blocks offered in Lease Sale No. 213, which took place March 17… The most active bidder was not a U.S. company. Denmark's Maersk Oil submitted 63 apparent high bids, followed by Anadarko with 48, Chevron with 46 and Mariner Energy with 45. All told, 77 companies participated in the sale, with 71 as lead bidder or partner in apparent high bids."
But that is not the worst of it. Under American law the U.S. Energy Information Administration reminded us:
"Production in the United States has several unusual aspects. One is the private ownership of resource rights. In most major producing countries, the government owns the rights to develop resources. For privately owned property in the United States, the decision to explore for and produce oil is between the landowner and the producing company."
The reality of this is that BP was free to sell production from the blown-out well to whomever it pleased — worldwide. In other words, it can come to our Gulf, buy a lease, despoil our coast — and sell its oil anywhere. This is not energy independence for America.
So what is this about?
To start with, even though such accidents as the current oil spill may be infrequent, their consequences are cataclysmic. Second, many of the rigs in the Gulf are old, and should cause concern for their structural integrity; meanwhile, the newest rigs, like the BP platform, are drilling to unheard of depths with unknown dangers, as we have seen. Third, the idea that we can drill our way to energy independence is a myth because we will need to continue to import oil in the short term, and our reserves of fossil fuels will not provide independence in the long term.
But mostly it is about legacy. By continuing to drill in the Gulf we must ask the question: What kind of an energy world are we going to turn over to the next generations? Will it be a damaged environment, a ruined ecology, and a continued reliance on diminishing fossil fuels with ever-increasing costs and dangers for extraction — or will it be a cleaner planet and safer, greener energy sources?
That is the true meaning of the vast amount of dirty oil now seeking to damage the beaches, birds and sea life in the Gulf of Mexico — and the decision our generation now must make for the future.
Myles Spicer of Minnetonka has spent his business career as a professional writer and owned several successful ad agencies over the past 45 years.
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Comments (9)
Your analysis glosses over the fact that oil occurs naturally in the ocean. In effect, there is an oil spill every day, as oil from vast natural reservoirs seeps into the ocean floor through cracks in the crust. Such a seep near Santa Barbara California seeps 20 to 25 tons of oil into the coastal ocean each day, and it has for hundreds of years. Local Native Americans once gathered it and used it to waterproof their boats. According to Christopher Reddy, Director of the Coastal Ocean Institute, “they (natural seeps) account for about 50 percent of oil that ends up in the coastal environment. That’s five times as much oil as is delivered by accidental spills.”
Check out this interesting article on this topic in “Oceanus Magazine”, from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute.
http://www.whoi.edu/oceanus/viewArticle.do?id=57272
Your recommendation to stop drilling only addresses a small fraction (1/10) of the issue of oil in ocean water. I agree with you that your proposal is draconian and radical, but it is not potent.
Even accepting the most optimistic estimates of American offshore oil reserves, and assuming it was all extracted, it would hardly supply more than a few percent of America's oil consumption. So whether or not we 'drill, baby, drill' really doesn't make much difference.
So long as Americans do not reduce their consumption of oil, refusing to drill at home means importing more of the stuff, often from places with looser environmental standards. The net effect is likely to be more pollution, not less.
Putting a price on carbon would eventually spur the development of cleaner fuels, and persuade Americans to switch to them. But in the meantime, oil is both useful and precious. Extracting it domestically, with tougher safety rules, would bring a windfall to a Treasury that sorely needs one.
Well, as far as Rose's comments go, there is a HUGE difference in modest "seeping" into the ocean, and a catastrophic spill, as we now have. Indeed, it is now estimated that it could take decades for the environment to repair itself, on a worst case scenario -- and the effects of the Exxon Valdez are still being felt and present.
Re the Schulze comment, it is true that the Treasury (in some part the states get compensation as well) can get proceeds from the sale of leases and royalties. This issue then again returns to the "risk/reward" scenario. Is the reward sufficient enough to bear the risks? To me, the answer is clear: not when you have the potential damage that MIGHT occur in future spill events. At least, I feel that is what the locals in Louisiana would opt for right now. In that regard, I guess we are also talking about risks NIMBY, so it is easy for Minnesotans to continiue to approve drilling in the Gulf.
The difference is HUGE between seeped oil and spilled oil; it is 5X, as the indicated by my previous reference. It can be argued that pumping oil out of these vast oil deposits reduces natural seeping. The problem of spilled oil, which you address, is less than 10% of the total oil-in-the ocean problem.
United States Senator Mary L. Landrieu, D-La., after surveying the spill with President Obama said, “I appreciate the President’s remarks today, when he said we want the industry to move forward. We do not want them to retreat, but we must make sure that all deepwater operations are safe. I agree that there must be a 30-day review to find out what went wrong and determine what new safeguards and technology must be put in place to prevent future tragedies of this magnitude.”
In this article in nola.com (New Orleans, LA), Senator Landrieu addresses the issues of our nation’s energy policy and her support of the Obama Administration’s plans for new drilling off the Atlantic and eastern Gulf of Mexico coasts.
http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2010/04/sen_mary_landrieu_says_sp...
It is easy enough to see how domestic politics and concern about fossil fuel imports drove Obama's decision to open up offshore drilling. That being said, this is another example of the heroin junkie approach to energy policy – when some veins get withered from overuse, start injecting into others rather than working to break the addiction.
We have oil. We like what oil does for us. We are running out of oil. We have nothing else that's a tenth as good. We keep finding more and more great things to use oil for (like getting fresh Chilean raspberries in January). We will keep mining oil, and groundwater, and coal, and copper, and uranium, and lithium, and indium until we run out of one of the critical ones.
There is no "sustainable" when resources are used that are not being replaced. Any usage rate greater than zero means inevitable eventual exhaustion.
The United States would almost certainly be better off if Americans had the foresight to move aggressively to an economy based on clean and renewable forms of energy.
One last comment of irony. The Tea Party folks have been amazingly quiet on this subject (when addressed by Palin earlier in April and cheered loudly when she urged more drilling for "energy indepedence"). What I am still waiting to see at one of the rallies is a big sign saying:
"KEEP YOUR DAMN GOVERNMENT HANDS OFF MY OIL SPILL!"
Thanks for this discussion. The current problem stems from the regulatory weaknesses under Republican rule. The Minerals Management Service
of the Department of the Interior lets out the leases, accepts oil company estimates of reserves
in these areas, collects royalties and then oversees production on behalf of the U.S. government. This is a poster child for "regulatory capture". In 2008 in Colorado,
MMS employees were found literally in bed with
oil company executives during a conference.
I agree; the government gets a one time kick for the lease sale...some royalties over time...but when you see how much profit the major oil companies are making on OUR resource (Exxon and BP just to name two examples), you can see we not only have had lax regulation, but our government has cut bad deals for a valued, depleting, and finite resource. Further, the revenues have now been offset by the massive loss of several industries (fishing and tourism to name two) -- a bad deal for America, the environment, and future green energy to boot.
British Petroleum’s (BP) loss of the Deepwater Horizon could well do for the offshore oil industry what Three Mile Island did for nuclear energy. At the very least, regulations are going to get tougher, inspections more rigorous, and taxes higher. The Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund, which is funded by an eight cent per barrel tax, is going to have to be replenished with higher fees. It will also raise the production cost of what is already the world’s most expensive oil, now around $80/barrel. The Senate is almost certain to raise the liability limit for these projects from $75 million to as much as $10 billion.
A populist wave could revive cap & trade, which until last week, was thought dead on arrival. It didn’t help that BP was a notorious “green washer,” with its $300 million budget for alternative energy going entirely into advertising. The big oil companies have to be asking themselves if these ultra high risk, high return projects are really it. The industry really could have done without this. Companies like Transocean (RIG), which owned the Deepwater Horizon, will do alright, because they already lease the bulk of their rigs outside of the US. But for the rest of us, this will mean more expensive gas at the pump.