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ERIC BLACK INK

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    I'm back and counting superdelegates

    By Eric Black | Published Wed, Apr 9 2008 9:04 am

    I've been away for more than a week. Back now. My mom says hi and predicts big things for the Internet.

    In case you took your eye off the race for superdelegates in my absence, here's the update:

    The pace of new superdelegate commitments, while still slow, has picked up and continues to favor Barack Obama. Since Sen. Amy Klobuchar endorsed Obama on March 31, he has picked up eight additional superdelegates, including one governor (Dave Freudenthal of Wyoming). Hillary Clinton has picked up two but lost three who had previously come out for her. (All of this, once again, is per the very helpful and superdelegate-obsessed demconwatch superdelegate tracker.

    The net of all this is that Clinton's lead of 24 among superdelegates (245-221, this doesn't count Michigan or Florida) has reached another new low. It peaked in early February at just under 100 and has declined steadily since. 




    Here are the other relevant statistics:

    Obama pledged delegates (not counting supers): 1,415

    Clinton pledged delegates: 1,254

    Obama lead among pledged delegates: 161

    Obama total delegates: 1,636

    Clinton total delegates:  1,499

    Obama lead among total delegates: 137

    Needed to nominate: 2023.5

    Delegates pledged to John Edwards: 18

    Un-superdelegates yet to be chosen: 566

    Superdelegates still uncommitted: 327

    Total delegates still gettable (including those now pledged to Edwards): 911

    Portion of those Obama needs to clinch: 42.5 percent

    Portion Clinton needs to clinch: 57.5 percent

    (All of the above math assumes that Michigan and Florida delegations are not seated.)

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    Eric Black
    Eric Black Ink

    minnpost.com/ericblack



    Eric Black is a former reporter for the Star Tribune and Twin Cities blogger. He writes about politics and government of Minnesota and the United States, the historical background of topics and other issues. Click here to view Eric's previous postings at former blog, Eric Black Ink. He can be reached at eblack [at] minnpost [dot] com.

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