This morning's Daily Glean
complained that no local media outlet printed a transcript of U.S. Sen.
Norm Coleman's exchanges with Gen. David Petraeus and Amb. Ryan Crocker
at yesterday's Iraq hearings. So here it is:
COLEMAN: Thanks, Mr. Chairman. I want to continue the
discussion about this bottom-up approach.
Ambassador, that's something you've talked about a lot,
that when we weren't seeing the success before we got de-Baathification, before
we got the central government doing a budget, a range of things, you talked
about the bottom-up level.
There's a piece in the New York Times today, David Brooks
quotes Phil Carl Salzman. He's talking about in Middle Eastern societies, order
is achieved not by top-down imposition of abstract law. Instead, order is achieved
through fluid balance of power agreements between local groups.
I take it that's a fair assessment of some of the things
that we've been seeing in Iraq today. Would that be a fair assessment?
CROCKER: Senator, actually, I think it's more complex
than that. That is true at one level. But there also has to be a vertical
integration, if you will.
COLEMAN: And my question, because the conclusion of this
piece, this, if you kind of followed this, you can establish order that way, I
mean the drawing down the U.S. troops at a slow pace, continue the local
reconstruction efforts, supporting local elections, reaching informal agreement
with Iran and the Saudis to reduce outside inference, and then Iraq can kind of
be held together.
But my question is -- it is about the vertical piece.
And I think there is something else missing. And I'm a
little frustrated as, what can we do? Where's the pressure that we can put on
Maliki to do those things that we're still a little frustrated that aren't
done? We can't have unconditional support here. There's got to be conditions.
What are some of those conditions that are not in place
today that can help us accelerate, at least, the vertical piece to support the
horizontal piece that is taking place?
CROCKER: Well, if I could approach it from this direction
of picking up on some of Senator Kerry's comments, too, because there is a
synergy here.
As Sunnis turned against Al Qaida in Anbar, then in
Baghdad and other places, the Shia took note of that. They were less threatened
by Al Qaida, obviously, and, as General Petraeus notes, Al Qaida did enormous
damage to Shia civilians.
As that diminished, the Shia began to relax a little. And
that meant two things: first, there was no longer the need to rely on groups
like Jaish al-Mahdi for security. And you then saw the reaction in August in
Karbala when Jaish al-Mahdi elements tried to take over one of the shrines.
Popular outrage against them, and that led Muqtada al-Sadr to declare a
cease-fire. The Sunnis take note of that.
So you see a lot of positive developments bottoms-up, as
it were, but that then begins to inform the national level.
CROCKER: And that's what gives you the climate in which
some of the legislative compromises that we just couldn't get in the summer and
the fall were then achievable in January -- December, January, February.
You take it another step. You mentioned Prime Minister
Maliki. I think his decision to go after extremist Shia militias in Basra,
again, was a product in part of a much better cross-sectarian climate than
existed heretofore. He could go after extremist Shia groups.
How well he did it
is something General Petraeus can address, but on the political side we saw
then further reaction from the leadership, including the Sunni leadership. And
right now -- I can't say how it's going to develop -- but right now there is
probably broader support from the entire leadership for the prime minister and
for getting on with the business of the state, including reconciliation, than
I've seen at any time since I got there.
COLEMAN: Let me take -- I'll give an optimistic scenario.
We've had a number of worst-case scenarios. But perhaps getting to the same
question, General, what you've done with the surge has been, I think, certainly
way beyond even my expectations, and I had some concerns early on. But I think
it set the stage for what the ambassador's talking about, the two go hand in
hand.
But at a certain point in time there's going to be a new
administration coming in. You're going be part of a transition. And they're
going to ask the question: With the success that we've had militarily, with the
movement that we've seen both horizontally, from the ground up, as well as some
vertically, I think these pieces fit together. It is complex, what's, then, the
best case scenario to say that we've reached that, Ambassador, your words, that
stable, secure, multi-ethnic, multi-sectarian democracy that has the ability to
defend itself against enemies, both internal and external, assuming we're
moving in that direction, what's then the best-case scenario to say now we can
set a timetable and tell the American public (inaudible), not in failure, but
in achieving success?
PETRAEUS: Well, Senator, as I've explained, again, from a
military perspective, as you would imagine as a commander on the ground and the
commanders under me, given the enormous effort it's taken to achieve this
progress, it has to do with conditions again. And what went to do is to look at
conditions and determine where it is that we can make reductions without taking
undue risk.
This is really about risk, by the way. It's also risk
well beyond Iraq. It's where do you take risk? Do you take it in Iraq, do you
take it in the region, do you take it elsewhere?
And I fully understand the role this body and the folks
up the chain of command from me in determining where do they take the risk? And
at the end of the day, as Senator Hagel said, you salute and you try to take
the hill with what you're given.
But what you have to do is lay out, if this is the
mission that you want us to perform, these are the objectives -- and you have
to have that dialogue very, very clearly -- then this is what we believe the
resources will be to accomplish that, here's how we might be able to project,
again, for you, just again hypothetically at that point, to lay what the
requirements will be.
And then it is up, of course, to the policymakers to
determine, again, where do they want to take that risk? And based on, again,
the various consequences in various locations.
COLEMAN: I may have time for one more question. Perhaps
this is one that you can't answer.
You mentioned -- talked about Quds Force-Iran is funding,
is supporting the killing -- efforts that result in the killing of coalition
soldiers. In other times, that would be an act of war.
What is it that we need to be doing that we're not doing
to make it very clear that that kind of action is -- simply can't be tolerated?
PETRAEUS: Well, Senator, again, my job is in Iraq. What
we have done in Iraq is attempted to interdict the flow of what are called
lethal accelerants, really, these trained and equipped individuals and the
weapons that have been provided to them and the funding provided to them by the
Iranian Quds Force.
And then, of course, at the next level up, there has to
be a regional approach, eventually a global approach. But that obviously has to
be taken up by folks above me in the chain of command.
But, again, obviously it's my job to raise what's going
on, to lay out -- we have detained these individuals. We have detained Quds
Force officers in Iraq, as I've mentioned. We've detained the deputy head of
Lebanese Hezbollah 2800.
So, again, there's no secret about this. And as the
ambassador and I have mentioned, their involvement came out in much higher
relief during this latest violence.
COLEMAN: I thank both of you gentlemen and those who
serve under you for your extraordinary service.
PETRAEUS: Thank you, Senator.