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POLITICAL AGENDA

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    Quinnipiac: Obama's Minnesota lead just 2 points

    By David Brauer | Published Thu, Jul 24 2008 9:51 am

    Via the Wall Street Journal, a Quinnipiac University poll puts Barack Obama up just two percentage points over John McCain, 46-44. The relatively large survey — 1,261 likely voters — has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

    The Journal says Obama had a seven-point lead in June; but MPR's Tom Scheck notes that lead was actually 17 points. Quinnipiac's site concurs. The new survey was taken July 14-22.

    According to the Journal, one factor in McCain's surge may be the public's support for increased offshore drilling; Minnesotans support it 59 percent to 34 percent; 9 percent have switched from opposition to support. McCain supports more offshore drilling; Obama doesn't.

    Minnesotans also support drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, but by a smaller margin: 51-44. A majority formerly opposed the move, pollsters report. Both major-party candidates oppose ANWR wells.

    Surprisingly, Quinnipiac rates Wisconsin as more of an Obama blowout: the Illinois senator leads 50-39 there.

    Quinnipiac's Minnesota results come a day after a Rasmussen Reports survey put Obama up 12 percentage points here.

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    Political Agenda is a place for quick-hit news about Minnesota's political scene and players. MinnPost's staff, including Eric Black, G.R. Anderson, Joe Kimball, David Brauer, Doug Grow and MinnPost Washington correspondent Cynthia Dizikes will contribute items about local and state government, plus national political doings that have a Minnesota angle. Items will appear throughout the day, so check back often.

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