SERVING MINNEAPOLIS / ST. PAUL / MINNESOTA
Donate Now Sustaining Member

MinnPost thanks these major sponsors:




Sponsor of
Second Opinion



Our major advertisers


Our in-kind partners


MinnPost thanks these generous donors:

INDIVIDUALS AND FOUNDATI0NS
Blandin Foundation
Otto Bremer Foundation
Bush Foundation
Sage & John Cowles
David & Vicki Cox
Toby & Mae Dayton
Jack & Claire Dempsey
Ethics and Excellence in Journalism Foundation
Sam & Stacey Heins
John S. and James L. Knight Foundation
Joel & Laurie Kramer
Lee Lynch & Terry Saario
Martin & Brown Foundation
The McKnight Foundation
The Minneapolis Foundation
The Saint Paul Foundation
Rebecca & Mark Shavlik

(See all donors here.)

Political Economy

  • Switch to Small Text Size
  • Switch to Medium Text Size
  • Switch to Large Text Size
Email Print Submit a Comment

    Slouching toward nationalization: The banks are dead; long live the banks!

    By Steve Perry | Published Tue, Feb 24 2009 6:31 am

    The pressures to start a serious program of bank nationalization grow by the day. The great bubble-blower himself, Alan Greenspan, has lurched up from his free market mausoleum to admit that a government takeover is needed ("It may be necessary to temporarily nationalize some banks in order to facilitate a swift and orderly restructuring"), a view seconded by a growing number of bankers and by politicos all the way from the right to the center-right--the whole spectrum of official U.S. opinion, that is.

    Even the likes of South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, hardly a friend of the common folk, sees the dollars-and-cents logic of the proposition. "We've got preferred stock worth $45 billion in Bank of America," he says in a remarkable interview with the Charlotte Observer, "and the bank's worth half that amount [in market value], so how do we ever get that money back? Instead of giving Citigroup $40 billion when the entire bank is worth $13 or $14 billion, wouldn't it be better just to buy the damn thing?"

    Graham is wrong by implication about the ultimate price of a takeover, because the market value of the 15-20 banks currently awaiting their "stress tests" represents only a fraction of the recapitalization it would take to make them effectively solvent again. Nouriel Roubini has placed that figure at around $1.8 trillion, and other economists seem to be falling into rough agreement. Even at that price, a regime of nationalization would be cheaper and more efficient than the crazy quilt of lending, spending and guarantees proferred since last fall, in which the total potential liabilities of the Treasury, Fed, and FDIC have swollen to the vicinity of $10 trillion. Temporary government ownership of the banks would present a lot less eventual risk to the American public, since the government would have meaningful assets to sell back to the private sector--the banks themselves, with bad debts written down--in lieu of all the toxic paper they're trying to take off banks' balance sheets in piecemeal fashion now.

    Paul Krugman's column in the Times on Monday made the case for nationalization about as concisely as it can be made: The banks are already broke; we can't afford to let them collapse; and we can't afford paying to keep their shareholders intact. To this, one might add that the lesson of previous bank collapses in Sweden and Japan is that economies don't start to get better until banks are made to swallow hard and write off bad loans, wiping out the banks' shareholders in the process. But here and now in the United States, the abiding political imperative is to keep the same game and the same players going a while longer in the vain hope that a) debt-riddled banks can "grow their way out of it" and b) incremental regulatory reforms can keep them from racing down the same path again. The main political question of our time is who takes the hit for the banks' folly: the owners of the banks or the rest of us?

    Since the banking system broke wide open last fall with the government's decision to let Lehman Brothers fail, the course of Bush and Obama administration policy has been charted by Goldman Sachs and Citigroup alums, who understandably prefer the latter.This raises a different question: Are the banks really broke if, for practical purposes, they still own the government? Unfortunately, the answer is yes. Hence the Obama administration shuffles toward nationalization, quivering and equivocating every step of the way while the economy burns--now saying the government may take up to a 40 percent stake in Citigroup.

    As citizens, we all need to understand that the implications of the nationalization question extend far past the near-term success or failure of the bank resuscitation effort. If we keep to the present course--socializing the losses from the unraveling of the banking system while taking the utmost pains to keep shareholders as nearly whole as possible--then it will amount to more than the last hurrah of a generation's worth of breathtaking financial plunder and wealth concentration. In that event, America will emerge from this crisis someday only to find the future prospects of most Americans drastically diminished by the sort of crippling debt burden that has forced many less powerful nations into semi-permanent peonage to the world's bankers. The distance from world empire to third-world domestic economy is shorter than we think. And shrinking.

    Like what you just read? Support high-quality journalism in Minnesota by becoming a member of MinnPost.

    Advertisement:

    4 Comments: Hide/Show Comments

    E-mail address

    Password

     

    Forgot Password? | Register to Comment

    MinnPost does not permit the use of foul language, personal attacks or the use of language that may be libelous or interpreted as inciting hate or sexual harassment. User comments are reviewed by moderators to ensure that comments meet these standards and adhere to MinnPost's terms of use and privacy policy.

    We intend for this area to be used by our readers as a place for civil, thought-provoking and high-quality public discussion. In order to achieve this, MinnPost requires that all commenters register and post comments with their actual names and place of residence. Register here to comment.




    Illustration by Hugh Bennewitz

    minnpost.com/steveperry


    Steve Perry is a widely published critic of politics, culture and the arts whose work has appeared in Rolling Stone, Spin, Counterpunch, LA Weekly, the Boston Phoenix, London City Limits and Salon. He began his journalistic career as a music critic for City Pages back in 1984. He was editor of City Pages from 1989-1997 and 2002-2007. In addition, he is also a former contributing editor to Musician magazine and the acclaimed music industry newsletter Rock and Roll Confidential. Perry was most recently editor of the Minnesota Independent.

    Recent Political Economy Posts