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David Brauer

David Brauer's picture
Minneapolis, Minnesota
Commenter for
5 years 27 weeks

Recent Comments

Posted on 10/24/12 at 11:05 am in response to Catholic guilt by association: how Minnesota marriage amendment politics hurt Land Stewardship Project

Re: Latino workers, pertinent point is #2, since most are Latino:

http://landstewardshipproject.org/organizingforchange/localorganizing

Re: new farmers:

http://landstewardshipproject.org/morefarmers

Posted on 10/22/12 at 10:38 am in response to Star Tribune shock poll: the methodology behind the Nolan-Cravaack outlier

Everyone I've talked to on the operative side has internal polling saying this is a 1-2 point race. People don't realize how much more GOP the 8th has become. The presence of Emmer Exurbs seem generally underrespected by urban lefties.

Posted on 10/22/12 at 10:34 pm in response to Star Tribune shock poll: the methodology behind the Nolan-Cravaack outlier

Henk - the polling date (Oct. 16) is in the piece.

Dems may be undercounted nationally in polls that ignore cell phones, but that doesn't speak much to the 8th's particularities. My larger points are 1) when cell phones aren't called, we'll never know how cell-phone-only respondents feel and 2) don't assume national trends speak to the vagaries of the 8th.

We can never know if a poll is accurate, but there are best practices that reduce uncertainty. Whether in the name of cost or...

Posted on 10/18/12 at 09:12 am in response to Mapping the newspaper war, 25 years after the Star Tribune invaded Pioneer Press turf

I'm always amused when the first commenter, who read the story minutes after it came out, says "who cares?" I do think the stats (both the ones above and our own metrics) show there's a lot of interest in what the dailies are doing. 

As for the "70-80% wire service" comment, you may be arguing from bias, not facts. I picked today's print Strib and here's the breakdown between staff-produced versus wire bylines:

Front + Twin Cities/Region: 24 out of 39 (61% staff-produced)...

Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:20 am in response to Mapping the newspaper war, 25 years after the Star Tribune invaded Pioneer Press turf

The map is actually correct, as is the Strib's household-penetration percentage. But the info box is picking up the wrong column for Strib copies sold. We'll fix that ASAP. Thanks

Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:46 am in response to Mapping the newspaper war, 25 years after the Star Tribune invaded Pioneer Press turf

Again, map and percentages were always correct, but the zip-code pop-up info window was picking up the wrong copies-sold column.

Posted on 10/18/12 at 02:05 pm in response to Mapping the newspaper war, 25 years after the Star Tribune invaded Pioneer Press turf

... that map was from a memo published on Steve Perry's old "Daily Mole" site. Seeing if there's still a copy floating around.

I remember it well. And I think it very accurately described the Strib of that crazy era.

I have no doubt the paper still craves those sales, though since then, they have tried to give more prominence to their Minneapolis coverage with good young reporters like Eric Roper and Maya Rao.

Posted on 10/02/12 at 02:12 pm in response to Minnesota Public Radio abandons political polling

John, if you actually clink through to my Emmer story below this post, you'll see the Strib poll was taken before the MPR poll, and had Emmer 7 points down -- not far off Emmer's own 5-points-down a few days earlier.

The Strib's Minnesota Poll and MPR's Humphrey Institute poll differed in three significant ways:

1. The Strib poll's gubernatorial margin was declining, while MPR/HHH was rising.

2. Emmer's poll and the Strib poll never diverged by more than a couple of points...

Posted on 10/02/12 at 02:15 pm in response to Minnesota Public Radio abandons political polling

... the Strib changed pollsters this year, from Princeton Survey Research Associates to Mason-Dixon, which did the PiPress-KARE-MPR polls before MPR went with the U.

Posted on 10/29/12 at 05:23 pm in response to Minnesota Public Radio abandons political polling

Yes. You can see the poll results here:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/mn/minnesota_governor_emmer_vs_dayton_vs_horner-1393.html#polls

The SCSU poll is an odd duck. It includes a lot of questions, and a very lengthy 11-day survey time. (They've been criticized for that; this year they cut it to a week.)

The methodological...