CQ: 3rd District ‘likely’ to keep Paulsen

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Erik Paulsen’s bid for a sophomore term in Congress just got a bit stronger today, a national race analyst said, after state Sen. Terri Bonoff said that she would forgo a congressional bid until 2012. Bonoff ran for that seat in 2008 but lost in a primary to eventual nominee Ashwin Madia.

Given that announcement, and Paulsen’s large cash advantage over two little-known Democrats, CQ Politics moved Minnesota’s 3rd District to Likely Republican, from Leans Republican. CQ’s rating range includes Toss-up, leans, likely, favored and safe, in that order of vulnerability.

Paulsen starts 2010 with $944,000 cash on hand, while challengers Maureen Hackett and Jim Meffert have raised $129,000 and $33,000, respectively.

The other two major Washington race-raters, Rothenberg Report and Cook Political Report, show Paulsen as “favored” and “likely,” their highest respective levels of confidence short of “safe.”

You can also learn about all our free newsletter options.

No comments yet

Leave a Reply