Republicans are faring very well in the three districts we outlined Monday as potential Eastern Time Zone previews of races in the Gopher State. Taking a look around…
What we said: “This is the sort of seat Republicans ought to be winning if they want to take over the House, but could lose because their nominated candidate is far to the right ideologically.”
What’s happening: The conservative Republican candidate Andy Harris leads the centrist Democrat Frank Kratovil by five points with about a fifth of the vote in.
What we said: “[Democrat Ben] Chandler voted for the House’s carbon cap-and-trade bill and this central Kentucky district is one steeped in coal. So naturally, his opponents are hitting him hard over that vote. Since the exact same attacks are central to the Minnesota campaigns of Randy Demmer in the 1st and Lee Byberg in the 7th (though both are attacking Tim Walz and Collin Peterson respectively from an agriculture standpoint), I’ll be watching this race to see if those charges are sticking elsewhere. Chandler heads into Election Day in much the same way Walz does — favored, but far from safe.”
What’s happening: With 98 percent reporting, the Democrat Chandler leads by less than 1,000 votes, far less than he was projected to win by.
What we said: “I looked long and hard for a seat that might give us an election night clue into the Michele Bachmann-Tarryl Clark contest in the 6th District, and, frankly, there isn’t another race anywhere in the nation quite like it. No one has Bachmann’s profile and no one has the massive bankroll either candidate has amassed. Still, if one is looking to see if a Republican seat can be taken by a Democrat in what looks like an otherwise good year for the GOP, this is an example…. Republicans remain favored to hold, but if Democrats can’t win this district — which theoretically ought to be an easier task than it was last time — then one wonders how they’ll be able to win tougher elections elsewhere.”
What’s happening: Republicans are walking away with this one, up by 15 points with a fifth of the results in so far.