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Looking behind the grim new numbers on bee die-offs and what drives them

REUTERS/Ruben Sprich
Managed honeybees are more like livestock than wildlife.

Because the subject was honeybees and their continuing die-offs, the annual survey of colony losses among U.S. beekeepers stirred a fair amount of coverage when it came out last week – some of it bringing more heat than light to the issues.

Under the headline “Honeybees Are Screwed: Let’s see us engineer our way out of this one,” J. Wesley Judd reminded readers of the Pacific Standard that “bees are arguably the most important insect to humans” – pollinating crops in the fashion of “flying penises” – and delivered this grim summary:

The total annual loss … rose from 34.2 percent in 2013-14 to 42.1 percent this year. This means that a disproportionate number of honeybees died during the summer — which is significant, to say the least.

Twenty-seven-point-four percent of all managed honey bee colonies disappeared last summer, compared to 19.8 in 2013, making this past summer the first in history where the percentage of bees lost was bigger than the subsequent winter.

It’d be like seeing more humans die as a result of the flu in July than January, Dennis vanEngelsdorp, the study’s co-author and professor at the University of Maryland, told CBC News.

By contrast, over at Forbes Magazine, the economic forecaster and longtime beekeeper Gary Shilling devoted his Intelligent Investing column to a call for calm under the headline, “The Plight of the Honey Bee: Fact and Fiction”:

There’s no question that beekeeping has become more challenging. Queens used to live and lay eggs vigorously for two or three years. Now, you’re lucky to get one season before Her Majesty dies or needs to be replaced.

Last winter, 20% of American bee colonies died and that followed an unheard of 43% loss last summer.

Contrary to the fears of alarmists, however, honey bees aren’t going to disappear from the face of the earth. It’s just getting more expensive and time-consuming to keep them flourishing and producing honey and pollinating crops.
Katie Lee

Quite a wide gulf there and, even in the more neutral coverage, not a lot of depth. So in search of perspective is I turned to the University of Minnesota’s famed Bee Lab and specifically to Katie Lee.

Lee is a Ph.D. candidate in entomology at the U, where the Bee Lab’s renowned director, Marla Spivak, is her mentor. And she helped gather Minnesota data for this year’s survey, as she has in the past, but that may be among the least of her credentials on this subject.

Writing the book on bees

In addition to 10 years’ work on bee health, with a special focus on parasitic Varroa mites, Lee has been traveling to California for the last five to extend the application of Bee Lab research to commercial beekeepers there. This “technology transfer” will be the subject of her dissertation.

Oh – and she wrote the book, so to speak, on last year’s survey: Each year the preliminary results come out in the spring, followed some months later by a research paper that refines and analyzes them in greater depth. Lee did last year’s (and may be roped into doing this year’s, too, though she’d rather devote the time to her own research).

So her views on the new stats merit attention.

She was “startled,” she said, by the summer-losses figure of 27.4 percent that has been getting so much attention, and considers it a “big deal, fairly unusual” for summer’s rates to be higher than winter’s.

On the other hand, summer losses are not so much new as newly quantified: The survey didn’t ask beekeepers to report on summer losses until the 2010/2011 edition, according to the Bee Informed Partnership, which conducts the survey with support from the U.S. Department of Agriculture and other federal agencies.

To be sure, 27.4 is a bigger number than, say, the 19.8 percent reported last year, or the 18.3 percent for 2010, but significant ups and downs have been typical in colony-loss tracking.

I think everybody understands by now that significant die-offs have long been a recurring risk of beekeeping; what’s different now is a pattern of rates that are unusually high, widespread and prolonged.

There is wide agreement that this pattern is driven by the interrelated factors of Varroa mites, exposure to neonicotinoids and other insecticides, and loss of foraging habitat.

Significant die-offs have long been a recurring risk of beekeeping; what’s different now is a pattern of rates that are unusually high, widespread and prolonged.

Management matters, too

But none of those factors can be studied in isolation in the field, and because managed honeybees are more like livestock than wildlife, what’s being measured in the annual survey is their response to both environmental stresses and beekeeping practices.

Beekeepers are grouped for survey purposes into three tiers: “backyard” beekeepers who have fewer than 50 colonies, commercial beekeepers who have more than 500 (the average is more like 5,000), and “sideline” keepers who fall in the middle.

Participation in the survey is both voluntary and self-selected, with some turnover from year to year (especially among the noncommercial operators); this time, they accounted for about 15 percent of the nation’s managed honeybee colonies.

More than 6,000 backyard keepers and only 112 commercial operators were in this year’s survey, and the summary figures released last week pool their losses even though the two groups differ markedly in their approaches to bee health and loss prevention. (The sideliners tend not to get much attention from bee researchers; they’re dwarfed in numbers by the backyarders and in colony count by the commercial operators.)

“Even when they do everything right,” Lee said, “beekeepers can still lose colonies. But in general the commercial beekeepers manage more rigorously, more intensively. A lot of backyard beekeepers don’t even treat their colonies for mites.”

A chart in Lee’s paper on the 2013/2014 survey results showed little difference in summer losses by operation type, with all of them around 20 percent, but it was a different story for winter losses (backyard 43.6, commercial 21.3) and full-year losses (backyard 52, commercial, 32.1).

Huge volumes of data are gathered in the survey: Participating beekeepers complete an eight-page form (you can see it here [PDF]) on matters ranging from why they started keeping bees, to what mite-control strategies they use, to how often they split colonies to grow their operations.

Colonies are increasing

That latter factor is another important aspect often overlooked in press accounts. It explains why, despite high losses, the estimated total of honeybee colonies keeps going up, not down. This year the estimate stands at 2.74 million, Lee said, up about 100,000 from last year, although she thinks there’s always been some double-counting of colonies that commercial beekeepers move from state to state.

But as with summer losses, much of the data on management practices has only been collected since 2010/2011, so a full-scale analysis of those trends won’t be done for another year or so.

Lee is hopeful that the results can lead to reduced colony losses through better beekeeping.

“There’s an old joke that if you ask 10 beekeepers a question about the best way to do something, you’ll get 11 answers,” she said.

We do have things to learn about managing to reduce losses, but I don’t think there’s any chance that honeybees are going to be wiped out. Actually, a lot of wild bee species are actually in more danger right now.

Our bigger risk is losing more and more beekeepers, as it just keeps getting more expensive. It’s a fairly small number of people in the field now, and it’s an aging population, and not a lot of people are wanting to get it into anymore.

Comments (7)

  1. Submitted by Rod Loper on 05/20/2015 - 11:48 am.


    We know the bees are in trouble when our legislators let the stores sell plants laced with neonicitoids as “Bee friendly”.

    • Submitted by Joe Smithers on 05/20/2015 - 04:27 pm.


      Define what you are calling laced and please list the supposed plants you claim are laced with them. Otherwise I’m sticking to that not being true at all since neonicitoids are generally a pesticide applied to plants afterwards not directly laced into them..

      • Submitted by Pat Berg since 2011 on 05/20/2015 - 05:46 pm.

        Neonicotinoids are a systemic insecticide

        From :

        “Unlike other pesticides which remain on the surface of treated foliage, systemic pesticides are taken up by the plant and transported to all the tissues (leaves, flowers, roots and stems, as well as pollen and nectar).

        “The most common are Neonicotinoids and Fipronil (neonics), which are a class of neuro-active, nicotine-based systemic insecticide. These were developed in 1991 and brought into commercial use in the mid-1990s.

        “Products containing neonics can be applied at the root (as seed coating or soil drench) or sprayed onto crop foliage. The insecticide toxin remains active in the soil or plant for many months (or years), protecting the crop season-long.”

        So not only are plants “laced” with them, but they *stay* laced with them for a long, long time.

        • Submitted by Joe Smithers on 05/22/2015 - 01:26 pm.


          I think you need to post more reputable sources such as the USDA or FDA rather than ones from special interests that do not have the facts. Neither USDA or FDA which have both studied these have said this happens. In fact recent studies have shown there is little to no pesticide residue.

        • Submitted by Joe Smithers on 05/29/2015 - 10:23 am.


          USDA studies have shown these are not the cause of bee die offs. I have heard that the federal government will soon be issuing a statement that says this as well. There simply isn’t any proof these are responsible for the bee die offs.

  2. Submitted by Rachel Kahler on 05/20/2015 - 02:54 pm.

    Self selected

    I appreciate this article. I’ve been irritated by the claims some of the news articles make. Not to sound like a denialist, but a lot of the claims are more than just exaggerated. My guess is that even Ms. Lee’s data skews more to the negative than reality due to the self selection of the survey respondents. Who is more likely to respond to a survey on bee die off? Probably people who have experienced high levels of bee die off. People who see average or lower bee die off are going to be less likely to respond. The average group is probably the least likely to respond (while some of the people who see lower die off might respond just for the “see, I’M not having problems” satisfaction of it).

    In any case, we’re so worried about honeybee die offs that we forget that they’re not a native species and are very unlikely to ever become so endangered that it will be impossible to get our crops pollinated by them. In fact, because they’re such a valuable commodity to those who have operations big enough to cart them around from California to Maine, they will be husbanded through this crisis with relative care. On the other hand, native bees are not going to have such a benefit. I’ve seen a grand total of 2 bumblebees (maybe the same one?) this year and one other native bee. Of course, not much is flowering yet, outside of the dandelions. Still, while my observations are by no means the rule, there’s little doubt that wild bees are suffering losses, too. I’m not convinced we know the root cause or combination of causes, yet.

    What’s disconcerting is that there was a measurable spike in summer die offs last year. I’m pretty certain that neonicotinoid usage is not the cause (though, probably not helping), nor mites–with all the negative press on neonicotinoids, their usage probably didn’t increase enough to cause the spike and mites don’t just jump in numbers unless the host is weak. Could other pesticides have increased in usage in order to avoid neonicotinoids? What about the drought in California (many hives are brought there for specific pollinating tasks)? Other predators? I also wonder about long-term problems–honeybees are far from wild–have we selected them too much for attributes that don’t support better survival? Does hauling them all over the country create risks to the honeybees and the native bees?

  3. Submitted by Jon Kingstad on 05/20/2015 - 08:57 pm.

    Precautionary principle

    This article makes clear that the relationship between beehive die-offs and neonicotinoids are more complicated than it appears on first impression. But even with these complications, there is circumstantial evidence that neonicotinids are an important factor in the increase in hive dieoffs.

    Whether honeybees are native species or not, they fulfill literally a vital role in the human foodchain being essential to pollination of plants. The ethical principle that should apply is the “precautionary principle”. This principle puts the burden of proving that substances used in the environment will be safe for the environment on the manufacturers and sellers. Substances may not be put into commerce until and unless there is such proof.

    I would have thought that the manufacturers of neonicotinids would have already had to prove that their pesticides did not have any negative effects on bees to get their products approved by regulators. Apparently, this precautionary principle is not always applied or required in the U.S.

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