No rainfall is predicted through most of Memorial Day for the Twin Cities area, with jives with the other computer models I’m looking at. It should be a beautiful day on your favorite lake, or just loitering in the yard, not too much to complain about. I still can’t believe this lucky spell of fine weather is coming on a holiday. We’ve seen some absolutely atrocious Memorial Days, weatherwise, but this will NOT be one of them.
Moisture streams north tomorrow, but it still looks like any showers and T-storms will remain over far western and northern Minnesota; parts of the Red River Valley could wind up getting soaked with over 1″ of rain, but it’s beginning to look like dry weather will prevail over much of central and southern Minnesota until sometime Tuesday, when a slow-moving cool front will finally pick up steam and cross the state. That’s right: 3 dry days in a row, on a holiday weekend. Unprecedented, bordering on atmospherically impossible, right? That’s what I thought. I don’t want to get cocky or overconfident; it’s still a little early for celebration, but I’m cautiously optimistic that you can (confidently) make outdoor plans for Memorial Day, with little fear of having to abandon your fishing boat, barbecue or afternoon on the beach. West of Detroit Lakes and Bemidji it’s a different story: you may have a close encounter of the wet (noisy) kind, but any storms will probably bypass the Brainerd Lakes area to the north and west.
• Today: bright sun, light winds, low humidity. Winds blow predominately from the east at 8-13 mph.
• Parts of far northern Minnesota waking up to a light frost this morning. Under the center of high pressure, with crystal-clear skies and virtually no wind: conditions ripe for unusually chilly weather.
• Memorial Day: not quite as sunny, a bit more humid. Winds blow from the southeast, a bit stronger, averaging between 10-20 mph.
• There is a 1 in 5 chance of T-storms drifting into the Twin Cities by afternoon or evening, but MOST of the storms should remain over far northern and western Minnesota.
• Much better chance of showers and T-storms Tuesday as cool front finally arrives.
• 80 possible by next Saturday. It’s still early, but models hinting at a better chance of a little rain next Sunday.