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Storm diverts south

New model runs show the snow storm diverting south across southern Minnesota. For those who where planning on shoveling for the 1st (perhaps 2nd) time this season, we’ve missed out. The Winter Storm Watch that was in effect last night has been canceled. Snow accumulations across central Minnesota are expected to be much less than previously thought. It is important to keep in mind that storm systems can be very finicky and any deviation in the track can mean a big change in snowfall amounts. Our potential 2″ to 5″ has gone down to less than 1″ by Monday afternoon. Here’s the text from the NWS:

…WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WATCH.

ITS APPEARS THAT THE SIGNIFICANT SNOW TOTALS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA. IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA…WHERE A WINTER STORM WATCH HAD BEEN POSTED EARLIER…AND IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW TOTAL WILL BE AROUND AN INCH OR TWO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO THREE INCHES.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING OVER CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THE SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF AND END BY MID AFTERNOON. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY AND EXPECT SOME SLIPPERY ROADS…HOWEVER…TRAVEL SHOULD NOT BE TOO MUCH IMPACTED BY THE SNOWFALL.

Here’s the Evidence:

Yesterday’s Run:

Today’s Run (Note the change in storm track… today’s run is much farther south):


Thus the change in Weather Weather Advisories:


Yesterday’s Watches:

Today’s Advisories:
(Everything shaded in purple is under a Winter Weather Advisory through Monday)



At this point, the forecast snow totals stand as is:
Duluth: Trace/Flurries
St. Cloud: Less than 1″
Twin Cities: 1″ to 3″ (Less northern metro and more southern metro)
Mankato: 2″ to 4″


Here’s the Winter Weather Advisory Text from the NWS: SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND SPREAD NORTH AND EAST OVER CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY MIDDAY MONDAY. SNOW TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE FAIRMONT AND ALBERT LEA AREAS. SNOW TOTALS WEST AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES BY MONDAY EVENING.

THUS…A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND A SMALL PART OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOME MAJOR CITIES INCLUDED IN THE ADVISORY ARE MINNEAPOLIS…SAINT PAUL…REDWOOD FALLS…MANKATO…FARIBAULT…HUTCHINSON…ALBERT LEA AND NEW RICHMOND.

THIS WILL BE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON. THE SNOW COULD ADVERSELY IMPACT MOTORISTS…ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE MONDAY…AND ALSO DURING THE BULK OF THE DAY ON MONDAY OVER EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY…SLOW DOWN…REDUCE YOUR SPEED WHEN ENCOUNTERING CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. YOU SHOULD ALSO MAINTAIN A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN THE VEHICLE IN FRONT OF YOU.


Todd’s Outlook for greater St. Cloud

Monday: Cloudy with flurries and light snow showers. No accumulation expected. High: 36.

Monday Night: Flurries ending. Not completely overcast and cold, hard freeze likely. Low: 24

Tuesday: Partly cloudy and cold. High: 41

Wednesday: Clouds increase, light rain/snow mix possible. High: 46

Thursday: Rain tapers (possibly mixed with wet snow north of Brainerd). High: 44

Friday: Mostly cloudy with spotty rain showers, still cold. High: 45

Saturday: Brighter and warmer: High near 50

Sunday: Sunny, even warmer. High mid 50’s

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