I’ve been away for more than a week. Back now. My mom says hi and predicts big things for the Internet.
In case you took your eye off the race for superdelegates in my absence, here’s the update:
The pace of new superdelegate commitments, while still slow, has picked up and continues to favor Barack Obama. Since Sen. Amy Klobuchar endorsed Obama on March 31, he has picked up eight additional superdelegates, including one governor (Dave Freudenthal of Wyoming). Hillary Clinton has picked up two but lost three who had previously come out for her. (All of this, once again, is per the very helpful and superdelegate-obsessed demconwatch superdelegate tracker.
The net of all this is that Clinton’s lead of 24 among superdelegates (245-221, this doesn’t count Michigan or Florida) has reached another new low. It peaked in early February at just under 100 and has declined steadily since.
Here are the other relevant statistics:
Obama pledged delegates (not counting supers): 1,415
Clinton pledged delegates: 1,254
Obama lead among pledged delegates: 161
Obama total delegates: 1,636
Clinton total delegates: 1,499
Obama lead among total delegates: 137
Needed to nominate: 2023.5
Delegates pledged to John Edwards: 18
Un-superdelegates yet to be chosen: 566
Superdelegates still uncommitted: 327
Total delegates still gettable (including those now pledged to Edwards): 911
Portion of those Obama needs to clinch: 42.5 percent
Portion Clinton needs to clinch: 57.5 percent
(All of the above math assumes that Michigan and Florida delegations are not seated.)