Trial heat polling 10 months before Election Day matching up potential DFL nominees against a Republican who hasn’t even entered the race is not something you want to take to the bank. More like something to take to the salt mine. And I’m only passing along a poll discovered by my esteemed Pi-Press colleague Bill Salisbury. And hey, I tried to ignore it and spend my time and pixels on more substantive matters but…
Pollster Bill Morris of Decision Resources finds that if the election for governor were held today and Norm Coleman was the Republican nominee, he would run behind DFLer Mark Dayton by 41-31 percent and would trail Margaret Anderson Kelliher by a statistically insignificant 33-31 percent.
Morris also trial heated Dayton against state Rep. Marty Seifert (who might be the front-runner for the Repub nomination) and Dayton ran ahead of Seifert by 41-25 percent.
Polling at this juncture involving candidates of varying name recognition is highly speculative and may not measure much more than recognition. On the other hand, with Dayton and Coleman both enjoying very high name recognition from their previous statewide races and statewide offices, that matchup is a little more intriguing.
I don’t have the actual poll and am relying on Salisbury’s writeup (Bill led with the overwhelming public opposition to public financing for a new stadium). And there are other intriguing poll numbers in there, but this is as far as I’m willing to go until I can see the poll and talk to Morris (who is, by the way, a former chair of the MNGOP).
Another poll in the guv race, taken by Rasmussen and published early this week, showed the potential primary matchups, with Coleman holding a redonkulous lead (he was over 50 percetn and everyone else was in sinhgle digits), and, on the DFL side, showed Dayton with a less redonkulous nine-point margin over R.T. Rybak, with Anderson Kelliher and Matt Entenza further back.