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Dayton, MAK top Norm Coleman in trial heat matchups (but bring the salt)

Trial heat polling 10 months before Election Day matching up potential DFL nominees against a Republican who hasn’t even entered the race is not something you want to take to the bank. More like something to take to the salt mine. And I’m only passing along a poll discovered by my esteemed Pi-Press colleague Bill Salisbury. And hey, I tried to ignore it and spend my time and pixels on more substantive matters but…

Pollster Bill Morris of Decision Resources finds that if the election for governor were held today and Norm Coleman was the Republican nominee, he would run behind DFLer Mark Dayton by 41-31 percent and would trail Margaret Anderson Kelliher by a statistically insignificant 33-31 percent.

Morris also trial heated Dayton against state Rep. Marty Seifert (who might be the front-runner for the Repub nomination) and Dayton ran ahead of Seifert by 41-25 percent.

Polling at this juncture involving candidates of varying name recognition is highly speculative and may not measure much more than recognition. On the other hand, with Dayton and Coleman both enjoying very high name recognition from their previous statewide races and statewide offices, that matchup is a little more intriguing.

I don’t have the actual poll and am relying on Salisbury’s writeup (Bill led with the overwhelming public opposition to public financing for a new stadium). And there are other intriguing poll numbers in there, but this is as far as I’m willing to go until I can see the poll and talk to Morris (who is, by the way, a former chair of the MNGOP).

Another poll in the guv race, taken by Rasmussen and published early this week, showed the potential primary matchups, with Coleman holding a redonkulous lead (he was over 50 percetn and everyone else was in sinhgle digits), and, on the DFL side, showed Dayton with a less redonkulous nine-point margin over R.T. Rybak, with Anderson Kelliher and Matt Entenza further back.


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Comments (4)

  1. Submitted by Brian Simon on 01/14/2010 - 04:54 pm.

    Why are Repubs so excited to nominate the guy that lost to both Ventura and Franken? Is the bench so shallow & the support for Seifert, et al, so tepid that he’s the best shot they got? I don’t get it.

  2. Submitted by Bill Gleason on 01/14/2010 - 05:02 pm.

    This early in the race, name recognition may count more than policy stands. Most everyone has heard of Dayton and Coleman. Later on, WHAT people have heard may take on more importance. There are many other good candidates on both sides of the fence. Some of them have a lot more experience in dealing with the problems of the State of Minnesota. Perhaps that’s what is needed now?

  3. Submitted by Colleen Morse on 01/15/2010 - 07:26 am.

    People shouldn’t even care about name recognition. It’s more important to elect someone who really cares about Minnesota and the problems we all face. I thought I was supporting that candidate, but now I’m not so sure. His refusal to acknowledge the hepatitis C issue that so many Minnesotans face was like a slap in the face to those of us who have it.

  4. Submitted by John E Iacono on 01/15/2010 - 09:24 am.

    Tune in in September…

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