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Nate Silver predicts Repub takeover of House

Nate Silver predicts Repub takeover of House
By Eric Black

Political numbercruncher Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com (now affiliated with the NYTimes), calculates that the Repubs have a two-thirds likelihood of taking control of the House.

As he does with other political math problems, Silver’s methodology seems to crunch together most or all of the factors that other analysts use to project results.

In addition, writes Silver:

“According to the model, Republicans have about a one-in-three chance of winning at least 54 seats, their total in 1994, and nearly a one-in-four chance of gaining at least 60.”