As measured by polls, the potential Repub primary electorate continues to gyrate pretty wildly in the race for the party’s presidential nomination.
In a new Wash Post/ABC poll out this morning, Mitt Romney is back on top among Republicans and Repub leaners polled. The double big surprise in these numbers is how fast Rick Perry is falling (down 13 percentage points from the same poll a month earlier) and how fast Herman Cain is rising (up from four percent a month ago to 16 now).
The pollsters tried the race with and without Chris Christy in the mix. When Christy is included, he receives just 11 percent support, which is a blow to the current hype that he will rock the race if he enters.
Minnesota’s own Michele Bachmann continues to struggle for relevance. In this poll, she attracts seven percent support, which ties her with Newt Gingrich for fifth place.
My advice is to take this poll and all such with plenty of salt. That said, without Christy or Sarah Palin in the race, the Post/ABC pollsters say this is how the race stands:
- Romney: 25 percent.
- Cain and Perry tied: 16.
- Ron Paul: 11.
- Gingrich/Bachmann: 7.
Trial heat matchups between Pres. Obama and some of the Repub frontrunners show the race too close to call, although Obama’s approval rating hit a new low (54/42 disapproval/approval) for this poll and, when asked whether they expect the president or his eventual Republican opponent to win, the overall sample, by 55-37, say they expect Obama to lose. Obama has begun referring to himself as an “underdog” in the race.