The Pew Research Center today released a new poll that includes a special analysis of adults in congressional districts that are represented by the 70 members of the Tea Party Caucus in the U.S. House. As usual, fresh poll results and especially those with new approaches should be taken with plenty of salt. But these results could be very grim for the Tea Party movement and the Republican Party more broadly about public sentiment a year before the next election.
The next three paragraphs come directly from the Pew email announcing and summarizing the results:
“Since the 2010 midterm elections, the Tea Party has not only lost support nationwide, but also in the congressional districts represented by members of the House Tea Party Caucus. And this year, the image of the Republican Party has declined even more sharply in these GOP-controlled districts than across the country at large.
Throughout the 2010 election cycle, agreement with the Tea Party far outweighed disagreement in the 60 House districts represented by members of the Congressional Tea Party Caucus. But a new analysis by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press finds that support for the Tea Party in these districts has decreased significantly over the past year. Currently, about as many people living in Tea Party districts disagree (23%) as agree (25%) with the Tea Party.
The Republican Party’s image also has declined substantially among people who live in Tea Party districts. Currently, 41% say they have a favorable opinion of the GOP. As recently as March of this year, GOP favorability was 14 points higher (55%) in these districts. The steep decline in GOP favorability in Tea Party districts means that these constituencies now view the Republican Party about as negatively as the Democratic Party. In March, GOP favorability exceeded Democratic Party favorability by 15 points (55% vs. 40%). Today, both parties receive about the same rating from people in Tea Party districts (41% favorable for the GOP, 39% for the Democratic Party).”
The full Pew writeup of the poll is here.