Rough new poll for the Tea Party and the Repubs

The Pew Research Center today released a new poll that includes a special analysis of adults in congressional districts that are represented by the 70 members of the Tea Party Caucus in the U.S. House. As usual, fresh poll results and especially those with new approaches should be taken with plenty of salt. But these results could be very grim for the Tea Party movement and the Republican Party more broadly about public sentiment a year before the next election.

The next three paragraphs come directly from the Pew email announcing and summarizing the results:

“Since the 2010 midterm elections, the Tea Party has not only lost support nationwide, but also in the congressional districts represented by members of the House Tea Party Caucus. And this year, the image of the Republican Party has declined even more sharply in these GOP-controlled districts than across the country at large.

Throughout the 2010 election cycle, agreement with the Tea Party far outweighed disagreement in the 60 House districts represented by members of the Congressional Tea Party Caucus. But a new analysis by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press finds that support for the Tea Party in these districts has decreased significantly over the past year. Currently, about as many people living in Tea Party districts disagree (23%) as agree (25%) with the Tea Party.

 The Republican Party’s image also has declined substantially among people who live in Tea Party districts. Currently, 41% say they have a favorable opinion of the GOP. As recently as March of this year, GOP favorability was 14 points higher (55%) in these districts. The steep decline in GOP favorability in Tea Party districts means that these constituencies now view the Republican Party about as negatively as the Democratic Party. In March, GOP favorability exceeded Democratic Party favorability by 15 points (55% vs. 40%). Today, both parties receive about the same rating from people in Tea Party districts (41% favorable for the GOP, 39% for the Democratic Party).”

 The full Pew writeup of the poll is here.

Comments (6)

  1. Submitted by Michael Fleming on 11/29/2011 - 04:31 pm.

    Any breakout specific to the MN-6?

  2. Submitted by Joe Musich on 11/29/2011 - 09:32 pm.

    Once ows stepped up and shinned a light on the issues the limbic brain responded in kind to the emotions more connected to the concerns of most of us. The tea is being seen for what it is a front organization for the well connected. The people are waking up.

  3. Submitted by Paul Brandon on 11/29/2011 - 10:57 pm.

    Joe–
    To call the TP a front is to give it too much credit. Certainly people like the Koch Bros are trying to use it, but it’s much too small a group (something like one tenth of one percent of the voting population) to be a real factor in an election.
    Its main function is to make the mainstream Republicans look a bit more moderate than they really are and pull the range of political discourse a bit to the right.

  4. Submitted by Joseph Skar on 11/30/2011 - 07:27 am.

    If we are cherry picking poll data, I would say that Obama having a worse approval rating than Carter would actually be news worthy.

    From US News:

    “President Obama’s slow ride down Gallup’s daily presidential job approval index has finally passed below Jimmy Carter, earning Obama the worst job approval rating of any president at this stage of his term in modern political history. Since March, Obama’s job approval rating has hovered above Carter’s, considered among the 20th century’s worst presidents, but today Obama’s punctured Carter’s dismal job approval line. On their comparison chart, Gallup put Obama’s job approval rating at 43 percent compared to Carter’s 51 percent.”

  5. Submitted by Bill Gleason on 11/30/2011 - 09:13 am.

    If we are cherry-picking data…

    Not really, Mr. Sklar.

    If George Bush were sitting in the throne right now he would be one of the most unpopular presidents ever.

    As the old saying goes: It’s the economy, stu***.

    What is telling is that, although Obama loses to generic Republican, he does well against the real ones currently found in the GOP clown car.

    Is Cain going to beat Obama? Gingrich? Romney? In your dreams.

    Bottom line: Obama to be re-elected in 2012.

    And if the GOP really has the best interests of the country in mind they had better learn to work with him. What is happening to the TeaParty in the view of the public, could easily happen to the GOP once it is clear that they have no real ideas for solving the country’s economic and other problems.

  6. Submitted by Tim Walker on 11/30/2011 - 09:28 am.

    Joseph (#4): MinnPost has in the past reported on many polls showing the ups and downs of the President’s approval rating.

    So your accusation that this article by Eric Black is cherry picking is patently false.

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