So many polls, one could write about nothing else. Last time I mentioned the presidential horserace polling, just nine days ago, was to note that contrary to the general Obama-is-pulling-ahead buzz, the Gallup daily tracking poll indicated that his entire post-convention bounce had disappeared.
Well, it’s back. The latest Gallup has it: Obama 50; Romney 44. That’s among the biggest leads I’ve seen in months.
Also, Gallup found Obama’s approval rating at 51 percent. Although that figure has poked above 50 a couple of other times recently, especially right after the Dem convention, it has basically been mired in the 40s for more than a year and a half. Obama’s approval rating comeback, which is reflected in plenty of polls other than Gallup’s, runs contrary to the common analysis point that Obama’s survival as president rested mostly on his ability to villainize Romney.
Of course, 51 is not a great approval rating, except compared to this recent history. If Obama was to win reelection with an approval rating under 50, he would be the first president to do so in the history of polling.