Nonprofit, nonpartisan journalism. Supported by readers.


Obama’s post-convention bounce has disappeared

At its peak last week, Pres. Obama’s lead in the Gallup daily tracking poll (it’s an average of seven-days of results, updated every day) was six percentage points.

As of this morning, it’s back to one percentage point, which was pretty much the status quo before the conventions.

Comments (6)

  1. Submitted by Don Medal on 09/18/2012 - 01:53 pm.

    one poll?

    Even Mr. Tester would take you to task over that. Well, except that this is good news for him.

    What do other current polls show?

  2. Submitted by Dennis Tester on 09/18/2012 - 02:07 pm.

    Obama over the past 9 days…

    -6 in Gallup

    -7 in Rasmussen

    And the press narrative is that the Romney camp is spinning and in turmoil.


    • Submitted by Paul Brandon on 09/18/2012 - 02:23 pm.

      Hoof in mouth disease

      The Gallup result is the one Eric quoted — Rasmussen is predictable.
      All you’ve got to do is watch Romney put his foot in his mouth and shoot himself in it to see what his problem is — the media has nothing to do with it.
      As someone said:
      “I look at Obama and think that he can’t win,
      and then I look at Romney and know that Obama can’t lose.”

  3. Submitted by Robert Gauthier on 09/18/2012 - 03:45 pm.

    Who cares?

    We elect with an electoral college and 538 has Obama at 303 votes, 70% chance of winning. Remember George Bush?

  4. Submitted by Paul Brandon on 09/18/2012 - 09:14 pm.

    Wall Street Journal

    Just in from the latest CNBC/Wall St Journal poll

    “President Barack Obama has emerged from the conventions of both political parties with a clear lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney, the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll has found.

    In the poll, Obama led Romney by 50 percent to 45 percent among Americans judged “likely” to vote by Peter Hart and Bill McInturff, who conducted the NBC/WSJ survey.

    The Democratic incumbent also reached the 50 percent mark, to Romney’s 44 percent, among the larger group of all registered voters.”

Leave a Reply