I’ll keep this short because, once again, the monthly update on the ups and downs of President Donald Trump’s approval ratings shows basically nothing by way of ups or downs.
Yes, Trump’s ratings are underwater (meaning more disapprovers than approvers). His weekly Gallup numbers show 52 disapproval/42 percent approval. When I wrote a month ago, it was 54/42. Obviously no significant change, which has been the case for more than a year.
Likewise, the HuffPost average of many approval polls, as of this morning, shows Trump at 52/43, obviously the same as Gallup or so close to the same as to be insignificant.
To repeat what has been the case since I started this farshtunkene exercise, the current incumbent’s approval rating has been bad, below water, since about a week after he was sworn in. But, over the past year and a half, it has shown no significant movement toward the better or the worse.
This link will get you a graph of the weekly Gallup numbers, starting a few days after Inauguration Day. And this will get you the movement of the HuffPost average. If you squint sympathetically at the HuffPost version, it is possible to see some improvement over the past six months or so from Trump’s lowest point to today, but the lines are basically flat over the past three months, in the range of today’s 52 percent disapproval rating, and they are still undeniably below water.
I say that because I don’t want to be accused of seeing what I want to see in the numbers. But Trump has no such aspiration to build a reputation for fair-minded credibility when it comes to this matter. The current incumbent, last week tweeted: “TRUMP APPROVAL HITS 50%” and supplied a link to a recent Rasmussen Poll that did, indeed, show a 50 percent rating.
He did not note that, during the course of his presidency, Rasmussen has consistently shown him with better numbers than the overwhelming majority of the pollsters who attempt to measure this. There are those who believe that Rasmussen has a pro-Trump or pro-Republican bias. I take no position on that question.
But I do believe that it shows something about an individual’s commitment to knowing and sharing the honest truth, when he shares only a single pollster’s number when, by sheer happenstance of course, that number is out of step with the great majority of pollsters attempting to measure the same question, and, of course, out of step in the direction of showing what the individual would like to believe or have you believe.
I promise, barring unexpected developments, not to write about Trump’s approval ratings for another month.