I’m overdue to update my effort to track the ups and downs of the approval ratings of the current occupant of the Oval Office, one Donald Trump.
The most recent movement is bad for the president, but only slightly and, as usual, I must hasten to note that the basic story remains the same — which is that the leader of the executive branch has a very bad approval rating, the worst ever by many measures, as he has throughout his term, but also an amazingly stable approval rating.
To cut to the chase, the last month has been the worst for the Trumpian approval picture in quite a while. He has been “under water” (more disapprovers than approvers) since the first few days after his inauguration, which is historically unprecedented.
But when I say it is in some ways the worst ever, it is not the lowest ever. Several presidents have been lower bottoms (as you can see here in the Gallup archive). Trump has the historically lowest highs and it is historically unprecedented, by a huge margin, for any president to be under water during his entire first term.
So the most noteworthy thing I can say about the current numbers are they reflect the steadiest decline and the lowest point in the last few months, which put them back to roughly where they were last September. If they continue to drop as they have over the past month (and I have no idea whether that will occur), the numbers will soon approach his all-time worst, which occurred in December of 2017, 36.7 percent approval, 56.8 disapproval.
By the way, I’m now relying mostly on fivethirtyeight.com. Gallup, which used to put out a weekly average rating on which I relied, has stopped doing that, and on a big blend of many polls by HuffPost. The 538 chart shows a steady decline in Trump’s approval since late November. If that keeps up (and I claim no intuitive ability to foresee whether it will), Trump might test his old lows.