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Who — besides Amy Klobuchar — are Minnesotans supporting in the Democratic primary?

photo of pete buttigieg
REUTERS/Rebecca Cook
South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who raised $259,000 in Minnesota.

The second round of Democratic debates will this week pit 20 candidates — 10 on stage each of two nights — against one another Tuesday and Wednesday.

Earlier this month, presidential contenders were required to file second-quarter fundraising reports, which show not only how much money they raised, but also where they got it from.

All told, more than $2.7 million came from donors in Minnesota. (A note about the data: this analysis only looks at itemized individual donations. Candidates are only required to report names and addresses of donors who give over $200, though some candidates itemize smaller donations.)

Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar raised the most from Minnesotans — a total of $1.9 million in itemized individual contributions (she raised $5.9 million in the U.S.).

In far second place was South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who raised $259,000 in itemized individual contributions Minnesota (he raised $16.6 million in the U.S.).

In third place: President Donald Trump. (Hey, you didn’t think we were only looking at Democrats, did you?) Trump’s campaign raised $134,000 in Minnesota ($7.9 million in the U.S.). Among the Democrats, Bernie Sanders came in third in Minnesota, at $123,000 ($8.4 million in the U.S.).

Total itemized individual receipts in Minnesota by candidate
Note: Data shown for the first and second quarter, from Jan. 1 through June 30, 2019. Itemized individual receipts tend to include donations over $200, though some candidates itemize donations received under that amount.
Source: Federal Elections Commission

Amy Klobuchar’s popularity with donors is a Minnesota-specific phenomenon. While she captured about three-quarters of all itemized contributions from Minnesotans to Democrats who will appear on the debate stage this week, she brought in about 6 percent of contributions to those candidates nationally.

Who else over-performs in Minnesota?

Andrew Yang, the tech entrepreneur, slightly. He drew 1.3 percent of itemized individual donations to debate Democrats in Minnesota, compared to 1.2 percent in the U.S. (Maybe it’s because one of his stops to stump was at Boom Island in Minneapolis.) Yang raised about $32,000 in itemized individual contributions in Minnesota and $1.2 million in the U.S.

Relatively speaking, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris and others raked in smaller shares of campaign cash in Minnesota than they did in the U.S.

Of course, this is all very early in the process — the election is still more than a year out — and fundraising is just one indicator.

The most recent primary poll done in Minnesota, conducted by Change Research in June, found Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders statistically tied in the state among likely Democratic primary voters when you account for a 2.5 percentage point margin of error. (Change Research is an outfit that conducts online polling, regarded as less reliable than polls that mix online and phone polling or straight phone polling. It gets a C+ from FiveThirtyEight.)

Presidential primary poll of Minnesotans in June
Poll was conducted by Change Research in Minnesota in June. The margin of error is ±2.5 points.
Source: Change Research

Comments (9)

  1. Submitted by James Hamilton on 07/30/2019 - 01:05 pm.

    For the record, many Minnesotans want nothing to do with a Klobuchar presidential campaign. It’s past time she bow out, along with all the other 1 and 2 percenters.

    • Submitted by Connie Sullivan on 07/30/2019 - 02:35 pm.

      For the record, many more Minnesotans seem to have been putting their money where their mouth is, and encouraging a really good U.S.Senator from Minnesota to keep up her presidential efforts. After all, she keeps getting re-elected to the Senate with larger margins and she has earned the respect even of many Senate Republicans..

      And, why should she get out earlier than anyone else? She’s way better than a number of The Boys Who Are Running!

      I actually am backing a ticket of Elizabeth Warren for pres and Pete B. for vice-pres. Pure anti-Trump glory.

  2. Submitted by tom kendrick on 07/30/2019 - 02:11 pm.

    For the record, as much as I can relate to issues coming from the left, we need someone to step up who will draw a broad range of Americans to her campaign. This is not about the left winning; this is about who can lead a whole country, not just a backlash.

    That said, Klobuchar doesn’t have a prayer. She’s a woman, after all, and even if she doesn’t raise the hackles like Hillary did (who was quite capable), many will avoid her thanks to the garbage steaming and streaming out of the White House.

  3. Submitted by Scot Kindschi on 07/30/2019 - 03:06 pm.

    She should have stayed out in the first place.

  4. Submitted by William Hunter Duncan on 07/30/2019 - 08:54 pm.

    Warren and Bernie polling in Minnesota at a combined 40%, to Klobuchars 16%, yet Klobuchar pulling in $1.8 million compared to Warren and Bernie @ a combined $200,000.

    Clearly the working poor and those hungry for economic change support Warren and Bernie, while those doing very well in this economy support Senator Klobuchar.

    And then there are those polling for a return to the Clinton/Obama paradigm with Joe Biden @ 20%, in second place after Warren supporters @ 21%. With Bernie at 19%. Klobuchar in 4th place!

  5. Submitted by Rod Halvorson on 07/31/2019 - 10:35 am.

    William Hunter Duncan has a good point in his reply to this article.
    In addition, if Amy stays in until Super Tuesday (the date of the MN Presidential primary) and comes in 4th place with 16%, she will harm her standing in MN.

  6. Submitted by Anita Seeling on 07/31/2019 - 03:44 pm.

    In an election year wherein the needs of the average American (forgotten by both parties) and its emphasis upon the impact of small donors, this analysis (based upon donors who contribute over $200) is in and of itself a waste of space. It does nothing to gauge the political climate here. Indeed, all one has to do is look to the progressive history of this state to realize that the results are overly skewed.

    This is a typical ploy by MSM (which I dont expect of MinnPost!) designed to underreport small donations, and over-emphasize big money.

    Anyone who scores quite highly in this analysis is more representative of large donor interests. It downplays the influence of progressives, who are backed by the people who cannot afford a contribution of over $200.

    SURPRISE! Centrist, Establishment candidates Klobuchar and Buttigieg top the list.

    Come on, MinnPost you can do better than this.

  7. Submitted by Connie Sullivan on 07/31/2019 - 03:51 pm.

    Don’t be afraid, boys! The world will not end if the United States finally joins the civilized world and elects a woman as President.

    The strongest candidates the Democrats have going right now are two women–Warren and Harris–with Klobuchar a strong third woman. The strongest man, if we’re looking for a winning personality with smarts, is Pete Butegieg. Married gay man. Can you see Mayor Pete debating Pence? I’d pay money to witness that!

    Both Warren and Harris are capable of mopping up the floor with Trump. They’re way smarter than he is, way more informed, and sharper-witted. They live their lives without name-calling, too–wouldn’t that be refreshing?

    Amy Klobuchar will be just fine: She’s one of the best Senators that body has, and–like Warren–knows how to get things done.

    One of the nice parts of having these debates is that we don’t have to pay attention to Trump’s tweets. And, we see which party has the ideas: Democrats care about the common person, and it shows.

  8. Submitted by tom kendrick on 02/07/2020 - 12:51 pm.

    Alas, this is not an election about better ideas. Stronger debating skills will not carry the day either, much as I join another reader in wishing for a Pete B./Pence debate, or watching Warren absolutely obliterate the current occupant. Good ideas won’t win. It’s all about show and charisma. As an earlier reader mentioned, we need to go back to the smoke-filled (smoke-free, of course) and appoint a team to beat the pants off this poor excuse of a president.

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