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We don’t know the results of the Iowa caucus yet. That didn’t stop candidates — including Klobuchar — from claiming some sort of victory

Sen. Amy Klobuchar
REUTERS/Brenna Norman
Sen. Amy Klobuchar speaking at her rally following the Iowa Caucus in Des Moines on Monday.

As of last night, it’s unclear who won in Iowa. But Klobuchar came out first.

In what seemed like a victory speech, Klobuchar made her case for a good night.

“You’ve probably heard we don’t know the results. But I did not want to let another minute go by without thanking all of you,” Klobuchar said as she took the stage at the Des Moines Marriott. “We know there’s delays, but we know one thing: We’re punching above our weight.”

Klobuchar made her speech before any of the other candidates addressed their crowds, and her full speech was carried by major news networks, giving the candidate free air time while the final result of the caucus remained entirely unclear.

The results of the caucus should be released sometime late Tuesday, after the event was plagued by delays. Precinct captains, Iowans designated by the Iowa Democratic Party to manage caucus sites, used a new smartphone app created specifically for the caucuses that did not work as expected. And when they tried to report problems or their results directly on phone lines, they were met with slow response times.

Iowa Democratic Party Communications Director Mandy McClure attributed the slow release of information to inconsistencies between different sets of information reported back to the party, not to the app.

“We found inconsistencies in the reporting of three sets of results. In addition to the tech systems being used to tabulate results, we are also using photos of results and a paper trail to validate that all results match and ensure that we have confidence and accuracy in the numbers we report,” McLure said.

“This is simply a reporting issue; the app did not go down and this is not a hack or an intrusion. The underlying data and paper trail is sound and will simply take time to further report the results.”

Everyone’s a winner

Klobuchar wasn’t the only candidate claiming some sort of victory.

Former South Bend, Indiana, mayor Pete Buttigieg said: “By all indications, we are going on to New Hampshire victorious.”

“We don’t know all the results tonight, but tonight has already showed that Americans have a deep hunger for big, structural change,” Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren told a crowd at her event.

All of the campaigns had varying internal numbers, but there was at least one consistency: Vice President Joe Biden was not the frontrunner in Iowa.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’ campaign released internal numbers, showing Sanders ahead with 29 percent of the vote in 40 percent of precincts. Buttigieg’s campaign said they had won the caucuses, when it came to delegates. And Warren’s campaign manager, Roger Lau, told reporters that his campaign’s internal numbers place it as a close race between Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg.

The biggest surprise of the night was who Lau said was in fourth: Biden. Sanders’ numbers seemed to corroborate that, placing him close to tied with Klobuchar. And Klobuchar’s campaign manager, Justin Buoen, said they could even be in fourth, ahead of Biden.

“Big night in Iowa,” Buoen said on Twitter. “With the numbers we’ve seen internally and publicly, we’re running even or ahead of Vice President Biden.”

If those results hold, they would match a previously unreleased poll from the Des Moines Register and J. Ann Selzer, whose final poll has correctly predicted every single Iowa caucus winner except for Rick Santorum in 2012.

While the poll’s release was canceled on Saturday, it leaked on Monday night to 538.

Sanders in first place. Warren in second. Buttigieg in third. And Biden in fourth.

Comments (46)

  1. Submitted by William Hunter Duncan on 02/04/2020 - 09:29 am.


    In 2016, the DNC did not release vote totals, only delegate counts. Hillary “won” by a statistical tie.

    2020? Bernie is denied a prime time victory by DNC incompetence? Malfeasance?

    This is the sort of leadership that brought us Russiagate and Impeachment. Who needs Russians to muck up things and destroy confidence in the system, when you have the DNC?

    • Submitted by William Hunter Duncan on 02/04/2020 - 09:41 am.

      So it looks like the DNC is going to release the results of Bernie’s Iowa win sometime around Trump’s State of the Union address?

      What a disaster. This is the party that is going to beat Trump? Bernie might beat Trump. The DNC can’t (and would maybe rather have Trump than Bernie).

      • Submitted by Bob Barnes on 02/04/2020 - 12:22 pm.

        Bernie has 0 chance against Trump. Bernie would be lucky to 200 EVs. Best guess would be Trump in a landslide with roughy 330 electoral votes.

        • Submitted by William Hunter Duncan on 02/04/2020 - 12:38 pm.

          Bernie would pull a lot of people who don’t usually vote, young people would turn out in large numbers, and plenty of people who wanted change in 2016 who voted for Trump while holding their nose closed, will vote for Bernie.

  2. Submitted by Paul Udstrand on 02/04/2020 - 10:48 am.

    It’s kind of interesting to note that his fiasco has finally prodded some observers into questioning the special status of Iowa within the primary regime. For those of us who have long believed it’s time to take a wrecking a ball to the Democratic establishment it would be kind of ironic if an attempt to run a more transparent caucus and primary process moves us towards that scenario.

    I know they claim this delay is all about insuring the integrity of these results, but am I the only one who thinks that the longer they delay, the more suspect many people will consider the results to be?

    • Submitted by William Hunter Duncan on 02/04/2020 - 11:39 am.

      I was listening to NPR this morning running cover for the DNC…the problem is our expectations that we would have results last night, not the tech or the DNC; and, any criticism of the DNC is a conspiracy theory; and it is the undemocratic Iowa caucus that is the problem (not mismanagement of it).

      Dem leadership is incapable of taking responsibility for anything. Everything is spun to get the result they want, no matter what.

    • Submitted by Solly Johnson on 02/04/2020 - 01:33 pm.

      First, the Des Moine Register doesn’t release its final poll showing Sanders in the lead citing polling error, and now this fiasco in the tabulating program, which was designed by one of Clinton’s supporters.
      The most difficult hurdle for Sanders is getting the nomination, not the general election that will draw thousands, if not millions, of citizens disenchanted with the DNC establishment back to the polls. Of course, the DNC hacks would rather be a faux opposition party than have progressives in control.

      • Submitted by Bob Barnes on 02/04/2020 - 03:07 pm.

        I disagree. Bernie will never pull the more centrist and moderate Dems nor Independents. He’s way too far left for them to ever choose him over Trump. If Bernie gets the D nomination, Trump will get at least 330 electoral votes and trounce him big time. Voter turnout will be low for the Democrats as is and Bernie will make it even lower. He only appeals to the extreme far left which is a tiny subset of the party/population.

        • Submitted by William Hunter Duncan on 02/04/2020 - 04:53 pm.

          The thing is Bob, corporations, banks and billionaires still rule America, income inequality continues to grow, farm bankruptcies continue apace, most Americans remain pay check to pay check, Trump is increasing ecological damage and pollution, Health Care and College remain racketeering exercises bleeding people until they are dead, the eternal war profiteering complex continues to grow…none of this would change if Trump wins again, or any of the Dems, except Bernie.

          Head to Head, methinks Bernie beats Trump. But Bernie will have a harder time winning the nomination, because the media, corporations, banks, billionaires and the Dem establishment are united against him.

          • Submitted by Bob Barnes on 02/06/2020 - 06:55 am.

            Sorry but you’re wrong. Bernie is a communist with no record of ever attempting to fix anything you list as a problem. Not one single bill introduced to actually end the monopolies in healthcare. He has been a leech on the govt from day one.

            Head to head, Trump beats Bernie in a landslide. He is way too extreme for most Americans. I’d say in that matchup Trump gets at least 330 EVs.. maybe closer to 400, depending on turnout (which will be low for Democrats no matter who wins the nomination).

        • Submitted by Paul Udstrand on 02/04/2020 - 05:37 pm.

          Moderates will vote for whoever is winning. We know that independents broke for Sanders in 2016, and they’ll do so a gain in 2020 of he’s on the ballot.

          Most Americans who call themselves “moderates” or “centrists” are neither moderate nor in the “center” of anything, they’re conservatives, and they’re numbers are shrinking. American’s are trending liberal, that’s why Sanders is so much more popular than everyone else, and it’s why liberal candidates and their agendas are dominating these races.

          • Submitted by Jackson Cage on 02/05/2020 - 07:49 am.

            Sorry Paul but this race is being held in 2020, not 2036 so you’re shrinking base argument is irrelevant. If you want to win this year, you have to capture the middle. Claiming the middle is actually “conservative” is actually the view of those so far Left that everyone else is Right.

          • Submitted by Bob Barnes on 02/06/2020 - 07:03 am.

            That is your opinion. Most Americans want nothing to do with Socialism let alone Communism (which is much of what Bernie is running on). Dem turnout looks like it will be quite low this year given the lackluster candidates… Iowa had very low Dem turnout.

            Most Americans are in the center ..neither too far left nor too far right. Bernie and Warren are extreme leftists that have no chance of winning the center/moderate vote. Mayor Pete has his own issues (namely his record as mayor which will keep an entire segment of the population from voting for him). Biden and Klobuchar are a has been and a never will be .. boring to say the least. Bloomberg is trying to buy the nomination which won’t sit well with many either.

        • Submitted by Betsy Larey on 02/05/2020 - 03:27 pm.

          I agree 100%. NO moderate Republican votes for Bernie. Young voters are notorious for not showing up at the polls. Guess who does show up? Old folks, and they are not voting for Bernie. If Biden doesn’t pick it up and roll from S Carolina on, I think Bloomberg is a strong possibility. I’m tired of the purist test for Democrats. At this point the ONLY thing that matters is nominating someone who can beat Trump.

      • Submitted by Pat Terry on 02/04/2020 - 04:31 pm.

        Because the polling question did not include Buttigieg, who is winning with the initial results in. It was an invalid poll. Of course it wasn’t released.

    • Submitted by William Hunter Duncan on 02/04/2020 - 03:51 pm.

      Of note: Mara Liasson repeating on NPR, the problems with the app are because Bernie and friends asked for more transparency!

      We regular folk are ever accused of making up false news…while we are ever told by corporate media what we are expected to think, regardless of the truth.

      • Submitted by Paul Udstrand on 02/04/2020 - 05:39 pm.

        My FB comment about these delays was that we shouldn’t be too hard on the Democrats, when you try to run a fair and transparent primary/caucus for the first time in history there’s bound to be a few glitches.

    • Submitted by Pat Terry on 02/04/2020 - 04:38 pm.

      I would love to see a state other than Iowa (and more representative than Iowa) go first. Maybe rotate each time.

      Its also time to end caucuses. Voting should be made as easy as possible. And every person’s vote should carry the Same weight.

    • Submitted by Tom Crain on 02/06/2020 - 08:49 am.

      No, you’re not the only one to be suspicious. Anyone who is not at least somewhat skeptical is being willfully ignorant or doesn’t know all the facts. There need to be allot of incompetence combined with a string of coincindences to think otherwise.

      • Submitted by Pat Terry on 02/06/2020 - 01:07 pm.

        Or just a Bernie supporter, all of whom seem to think everything is a conspiracy.

        Maybe all of Bernie’s dark money just wasn’t enough to win.

        • Submitted by Tom Crain on 02/06/2020 - 03:30 pm.

          And now there are more reports of inconsistencies even AFTER taking 3 entire days to get the #s correct! Listen to this Democracy Now interview with an IA county caucus official.

          It seems to me like there are three options to describe this debacle: incompetence, corruption or both. Pick one.

          • Submitted by Pat Terry on 02/06/2020 - 05:04 pm.

            Its looking like both. The caucus organization is clearly incompetent, but as usual the Sanders campaign has brought the corruption. Sanders cleaned up in the satellite caucus sites where the number of delegates are based on who shows up and the campaign directed people to vote there.

            • Submitted by Solly Johnson on 02/07/2020 - 08:06 pm.

              Yes, the satellite voters went heavily for Sanders and a very large majority of them were minorities and first-time voters. The establishment wing of the Democratic Party is only paying lip service to their claim of expanding their base and is willing to continue to serve the professional/managerial class. The establishment wing of the party was largely responsible for the election of Trump, not Russia, Jill Stein, Bernie bros, Susan Sarandon, or any other scapegoats.

          • Submitted by Tom Crain on 02/06/2020 - 06:15 pm.

            Pat, how is voting in satellite caucuses corrupt? You are looking increasingly desperate here. The formula for calculating IA state delegates (ISD) doesn’t matter except for the media horse-race. ISDs have ZERO impact on anything outside of the IA State Dem convention.

            Sanders has the highest popular vote total (the one that counts votes, not coin flips) and he and Mayor Pete will each have the same # of national delegates who get counted for the Dem nomination, not the ISDs who only get to vote for next year’s IA State Dem party chair.

  3. Submitted by David Markle on 02/04/2020 - 11:01 am.

    There’s plenty of evidence that Trump would prefer to run against Bernie rather than a centrist.

    As we await the totals, it seems obvious that the leading centrists–Biden, Buttigieg and Klobuchar–have split the rest of the Iowa pie, and that their total will exceed Bernie’s. Eventually at the convention, their and Bloomberg’s delegates will probably get together and choose the eventual nominee.

    • Submitted by Tim Smith on 02/04/2020 - 11:47 am.

      The party will contineu to move the goal posts until they get what they want. As loud as the far left is they sure dont get much say in these matters.

    • Submitted by Paul Yochim on 02/04/2020 - 12:01 pm.

      Except there is one problem. Biden, Buttigieg and Klobuchar are not centrists. They are just not as far to the left as Warren and Sanders.

    • Submitted by David Markle on 02/04/2020 - 12:18 pm.

      And what role would Warren play in such an end game?

    • Submitted by Paul Udstrand on 02/04/2020 - 12:42 pm.

      Of all of the things people say about this nomination process, the idea that Democrats should decide based on who Trump would or would not prefer to run against is the flat out weirdest. Are there any other big decisions you’d like Trump to make for Democrats or is this it?

      Has the fact that Trump is an idiot escaped notice somehow?

      Check this out: maybe Trump is just pretending to want to run against Bernie so Democrats will put Biden on the ticket because Biden is REALLY the one Trump want’s to run against. Did you ever think of that?

      Feel free to make up your own scenarios and share them.

      • Submitted by Jackson Cage on 02/05/2020 - 07:52 am.

        Ridiculous. If that were the case, Trump would have never phoned the Ukraine.

        • Submitted by Paul Udstrand on 02/05/2020 - 11:26 am.

          The total incompetence of this pseudo-technocratic elite within the Democratic is now clearly revealed. These folks remain just a clueless today if not more so than they were in 2016. They decide two months before the caucus that their going to compete with Republican technology, so they revive a nearly bankrupted company with Clinton connections and create the biggest primary fiasco in Democratic history.

          If this isn’t proof positive that Democratic leadership has collapsed into a puddle of executive incompetence I don’t know what it. Perez should resign, and Clintonians who produced this circus need to go home.

  4. Submitted by Tim Smith on 02/04/2020 - 11:48 am.

    Everyone gets a trophy, the irony is not lost.

  5. Submitted by joe smith on 02/04/2020 - 12:01 pm.

    Undaunted by failure, Democrats promise to release 51% of vote or more at 5pm today. The other 49% will have to wait I guess.

  6. Submitted by joe smith on 02/04/2020 - 12:15 pm.

    DNC declined DHS help last week in testing their new program for ballet counting/reporting in Iowa. The technology was developed by Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign managers.

  7. Submitted by John Ferman on 02/04/2020 - 12:21 pm.

    I would like to see the comparative numbers. We know Trump swept the GOP caucuses – how many people. Compared to the total people at the Democratic caucuses. Then those numbers compared to 2016 and 2012. And those numbers compared to voting age populations. One time numbers are great for the crowing, but is the evolution of the electorate that is important.

    • Submitted by Bob Barnes on 02/04/2020 - 12:30 pm.

      From what I’ve seen posted so far, Trump supporters turned out in record numbers while Dem turnout was very low compared with other years. That doesn’t bode well for any Democrat in Nov.

  8. Submitted by Richard O'Neil on 02/04/2020 - 02:07 pm.

    When someone says that they did something they haven’t done I believe the gentler term is “posturing.” Wouldn’t you agree Ms Klobuchar?

  9. Submitted by Steve Rose on 02/04/2020 - 02:12 pm.

    “Tech firm started by Clinton campaign veterans is linked to Iowa caucus debacle”

    I think that precinct chairs could have phoned in results far faster than this.

    This signals that the door may be opening for Hillary to enter the race.

  10. Submitted by Julie Stroeve on 02/04/2020 - 03:09 pm.

    This is a bad look for Iowa and once again, the DNC. Calls for Tom Perez’s head on a platter should be taken seriously!

  11. Submitted by William Hunter Duncan on 02/05/2020 - 09:58 am.

    It is Wed morning at 10am and I still have no idea who won the Iowa caucus.

    What a disgrace. So Buttigieg works with Clintonite apparathiks to design an App to obscure the result to give the impression early that Buttigieg won, distracting from the success of Bernie Sanders?

    Like Impeachment, and Russiagate before it, and the 2016 primary before that, it is one grand undemocratic manipulation. Pernicious, insidious and authoritarian, this Democratic party establishment,.

  12. Submitted by Tom Anderson on 02/05/2020 - 09:32 pm.

    Senator Amy said that 5th place would be a victory and place her in the top tier. Congratulations on keeping the charade alive, especially since some of the candidates weren’t even trying in Iowa while the Senator spent all of her time and effort in Iowa.

  13. Submitted by joe smith on 02/06/2020 - 07:42 pm.

    So far we have 2 candidates claiming victory in Iowa, maybe get another 1 the longer this goes on.. With the DNC wanting a re canvassing of the whole election, this may go past New Hampshire.

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