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Poll shows Bachmann ‘on solid ground’ vs. Clark or Reed

A poll released today shows that Michele Bachmann retains solid support in her congressional district, with 53 percent who approve of her and 41 percent who don’t.

The Public Policy Polling poll also shows she’s in fine shape against potential DFL opponents: leading Maureen Reed 53-37 and Tarryl Clark 55-37.

A summary by the pollsters notes:

Michele Bachmann may constantly be generating controversy in the national news, but back at home she finds herself in a solid position politically.

Adds the poll report:

Likely contributing to Bachmann’s present solid standing in the district is the unpopularity of Barack Obama and the national Democratic brand. After winning 45% in MN-6 last year, Obama’s approval rating with its voters is now just 39%.

Only 29% of voters there express support for the health care bill that passed the House of Representatives last month, a number equal to the percentage of voters in the district who approve of the job Congressional Democrats are doing.

“Michele Bachmann’s constituents don’t seem to mind her penchant for controversial comments,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Given how poorly national Democrats rate in the district they probably agree with a lot of them.”

PPP surveyed 719 district voters Dec. 17-20, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percent.

Public Policy Polling is often referred to in news accounts with the term “Democratic-leaning,” so the National Republican Congressional Committee  jumped all over this poll, sending the results to news media outlets and noting:

“Despite being the darling of Washington Democrats and the liberal political establishment in Minnesota, Clark does no better against Rep. Bachmann than political opportunist Dr. Reed.”

And:

“With a Democratic polling firm saying that Bachmann is safe, it’s time for Washington Democrats to end the charade that this is a competitive race and that they see a path to victory.”

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Comments (11)

  1. Submitted by Ed Stych on 12/22/2009 - 05:31 pm.

    Come on! This story has been posted for more than 90 minutes! Where are the usual liberal, anti-Bachmann snarks that usually show up within seconds of the posting of a Bachmann story?!?! Maybe you’re all too stunned from the dousing of cold water that this poll brings. …

  2. Submitted by John Olson on 12/22/2009 - 08:19 pm.

    Ed, nothing surprises me in CD6 any longer.

    Nothing.

  3. Submitted by Paul Brandon on 12/22/2009 - 10:02 pm.

    Let’s see what happens when Clark or Reed are running against Bachmann instead of against each other.

  4. Submitted by Aubrey Immelman on 12/23/2009 - 12:48 am.

    The poll results are consistent with my own macropolitical analysis of the MN-06 outlook for 2010, conducted in July 2009:

    http://www.immelman.us/news/can-a-democrat-beat-bachmann/

    It’s also consistent with a Rasmussen poll, conducted in November 2009, which found Bachmann’s *statewide* job approval rating to be 51 percent, with 45 percent disapproving and 4 percent not sure.

    http://www.immelman.us/news/poll-bachmann-approval-at-51/

    The one point I take issue with in the PPP report is this: “Michele Bachmann’s constituents don’t seem to mind her penchant for controversial comments,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling in a statement.

    Bachmann’s headline-making statements are not so much “controversial” as they are indicative of the political-psychological notion of “political paranoia” — or what most objective observers would recognize as a political nut.

  5. Submitted by Joe Johnson on 12/23/2009 - 07:30 am.

    Paul, what will happen is Bachmann will win by 10%+. Post healthcare in the 6CD, it will be a Carteresque type loss.

  6. Submitted by Thomas Swift on 12/23/2009 - 10:01 am.

    When the GOP takes the majority in the house after the mid-terms, Rep. Bachmann will be in a position to really start swabbing out the nest of reprobates P-BO & Co. have put in positions of leadership.

  7. Submitted by Aubrey Immelman on 12/23/2009 - 10:19 am.

    Paul Brandon says: “Let’s see what happens when Clark or Reed are running against Bachmann instead of against each other.”

    That may not be until after the September 14 Minnesota state primary election, which gives the Democratic contenders more than nine months in 2010 to attack each other and about six weeks to fight Bachmann.

  8. Submitted by Bernice Vetsch on 12/23/2009 - 04:08 pm.

    Aubrey I: The legislator tried to move up the primary date, but Governor No No-No’d it, as would be expected.

    Perhaps each party should be allowed to set dates for their own primaries.

  9. Submitted by Bruce Anderson on 12/23/2009 - 08:21 pm.

    Only a 53% approval rating for a conservative in a conservative district?

    That’s solid ground?

    As the data and past elections prove a democrat sure can’t beat her though.

    Run Bob Anderson run!

  10. Submitted by Aaron Klemz on 12/28/2009 - 02:42 pm.

    The primary will move up because it has to – new federal requirements increasing the amount of time overseas military voters have to cast a ballot will mean that the primary will move up a month or so.

  11. Submitted by Michael Zalar on 12/31/2009 - 02:58 pm.

    Eh. If that Impaler fellow who ran for governor a few years ago, ran for this district on the Republican ticket, I’m pretty sure he’d win.

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