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Minnesota demographer on losing a congressional seat: ‘It’s going to be close’

With final census data scheduled to come out at the end of the year, Minnesota is one of many states anxiously waiting to see if they’ll gain or lose congressional seats based on the changing population.

State Demographer Tom Gillaspy told MPR’s Tom Scheck that he’s confident Minnesota will hang onto its eight seats. But he’s not 100 percent sure.

“It’s going to be very close,” Gillaspy said. “We’re a cusp state.”

 Minnesota had a high response rate in filling out the census forms, giving us an edge over states that didn’t get as many of their people counted.

A national analysis by Bloomberg, out this week, doesn’t even mention Minnesota as a possible loser. Instead, it projects that Iowa, Illinois, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey and Pennsylvania could lose a seat, while New York and Ohio lose two.

Likely gainers: Texas, possibly gaining as many as four seats, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah and Washington. Some predictions show Florida gaining two seats.

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