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Trump, Romney, Huckabee lead Rasmussen GOP poll, Pawlenty lags, Bachmann not included

A very early Rasmussen national GOP presidential poll — which even the pollsters agree probably measures only name recognition rather than electability — has Donald Trump at the top, followed by Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee.
Tim Pawlenty falls low

A very early Rasmussen national GOP presidential poll — which even the pollsters agree probably measures only name recognition rather than electability — has Donald Trump at the top, followed by Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee.

Tim Pawlenty falls low on the list and Michele Bachmann wasn’t even on the list.

The numbers:

  • Trump 19%
  • Romney 17%
  • Huckabee 15%.
  • Sarah Palin 9%
  • Newt Gingrich 9%
  • Ron Paul 8%
  • Pawlenty 5%
  • Mitch Daniels 3%
  • Some other candidate 5%
  • Undecided when presented with this list of candidates 11%

Say the pollsters:

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“Not much has changed in the dynamics of the overall presidential race so far this year. President Obama leads Trump by a 49% to 34% margin. But no matter which of the top current contenders is the GOP nominee, the president earns between 42% and 49% of the vote. This suggests, as is typically the case when an incumbent seeks reelection, that the race is still shaping up as a referendum on the president.”

And they note a column by Washington Examiner political analyst Michael Barone, which notes that polls this early in the process really don’t tell much more than who has the highest name recognition.