A very early Rasmussen national GOP presidential poll — which even the pollsters agree probably measures only name recognition rather than electability — has Donald Trump at the top, followed by Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee.
Tim Pawlenty falls low on the list and Michele Bachmann wasn’t even on the list.
- Trump 19%
- Romney 17%
- Huckabee 15%.
- Sarah Palin 9%
- Newt Gingrich 9%
- Ron Paul 8%
- Pawlenty 5%
- Mitch Daniels 3%
- Some other candidate 5%
- Undecided when presented with this list of candidates 11%
Say the pollsters:
“Not much has changed in the dynamics of the overall presidential race so far this year. President Obama leads Trump by a 49% to 34% margin. But no matter which of the top current contenders is the GOP nominee, the president earns between 42% and 49% of the vote. This suggests, as is typically the case when an incumbent seeks reelection, that the race is still shaping up as a referendum on the president.”
And they note a column by Washington Examiner political analyst Michael Barone, which notes that polls this early in the process really don’t tell much more than who has the highest name recognition.