SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV poll shows Gov. Dayton with 49-40 lead over GOP’s Jeff Johnson

A new poll of the Minnesota governor’s race by SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV shows Gov. Mark Dayton with a 49-40 lead over Republican challenger Jeff Johnson.

It’s still early, though, KSTP’s story warns; historically such margins narrow as voters learn more about the challenger.

The poll of 600 likely voters found 3 percent support for Independence Party candidate Hannah Nicollet.  The Independence Party needs 5 percent of the vote statewide in November to retain its major party status.

About 8 percent were undecided in the poll.

The poll showed Dayton leads with women, 53-44 percent, while Johnson leads with men, 44-36 percent.

The polls also shows Dayton with a 51 percent job performance approval rating, while 37 percent disapprove of his work in office.

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Comments (5)

  1. Submitted by Thomas Swift on 08/25/2014 - 01:12 pm.

    A couple of observations

    In this case, the left leaning media will be of service to the GOP, albeit not purposefully. As voting time gets nearer, the constant reminder that this will, unless a miracle occurs, be the IP’s last election as a major party will have had it’s effect. Many, if not all, IP supporters will have thrown in the towel, and there is only one place for them to go.

    Also, as with most polling in Minnesota, the demographic polled leans heavily Democrat; in this case, 7%.

    Lastly, let us not forget that despite the best efforts by Dayton & Co. to keep the subject out of the news, MNSure disaster stories continue to dribble out. In fact more suffering being visited on would-be clients was reported in the PiPress just last Thursday.

    I think pressure to release the new premiums before the election will mount until Dayton finds hiding them as damaging as releasing them. Once that happens let’s take another poll.

  2. Submitted by Hiram Foster on 08/26/2014 - 06:42 am.

    KSTP polls, when we don’t like them, are generally dismissed as the product of the right wing Hubbard family. When we do like them, any discussion of them is prefaced by “Even the KSTP poll shows…”.

    I don’t like media paid for polls, actually, for a variety of reasons. For one thing, they are a form of checkbook journalism, where a media source pays for news that wouldn’t otherwise exist. Also, I think they interfere with journalistic independence. KSTP reporters are obliged to report KSTP polls and give them a special status onis the air, not because of any particular merit they might have, but because their employer paid for them. Also, there is the question of the meaning of polls. No one knows if August polls are accurate because there is nothing to compare them to. We have had a number of examples recently, including the Eric Canto case in Virginia which have demonstrated that early polls can be wildly off. It’s interesting to me that the pollsters are blamed for those errors, when the real problem is with polling itself, that polls simply are incapable of producing reliable early season results.

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