The most recent published poll in the U.S. Senate race in Missouri shows a big change since Rep. Todd Akin “misspoke” about the chances of “legitimate rape” resulting in pregnancy. It comes from the robodialer Rasmussen Reports and shows incumbent Dem. Sen. Clair McCaskill ahead of Akin by 48-38.
The history of polling in the race suggests that Akin was well ahead before he expressed himself on rape/abortion. The last published poll before the remarks was by SurveyUSA and had Akin up by 11 points.
It’s dangerous to compare too much across polls using different methodology but the last Rasmussen poll in the race had Akin up by three. It would be an overstatement to say that the race for control of the U.S. Senate hangs in the balance, but that national picture suggests that that larger race will end up within a vote or two of control either way.
Saturday morning update: The St. Louis Post-Dispatch is out Saturday morning with poll result very similar to Rasmussen’s. In the Post-Dispatch poll (conducted by Mason Dixon polling, by phone, with a margin for error of +/- 4 percentage points, McCaskill lead by 50-41.
A friend in St. Louis also sends along this hilarious column tracing Akin’s route up the political ladder.