Kathleen Hall Jamieson

Kathleen Hall Jamieson
[image_credit]Annenberg School for Communication[/image_credit][image_caption]Kathleen Hall Jamieson[/image_caption]
Professor Kathleen Hall Jamieson – whose work often focuses on understanding and improving democracy – did a Zoom discussion via the University of Minnesota last week on the theme of the “resilience” of the U.S. system of politics and government, which seems particularly relevant in the immediate post-Trump moment.

Jamieson’s primary purpose in the first portion of her interview with U of M political scientist Larry Jacobs was to celebrate the elements of the U.S. system that came through, under tremendous pressure from Trump (who was the one actually trying to steal the election, which he had lost by a considerable margin in both the popular and electoral vote).

I’ll just pass along a few of her opening remarks along those celebratory lines, then link you to the full presentation, which covered many topics.

Said Jamieson:

Well, first let me set up a premise, which is if we’re going to stay mobilized to protect something, you can’t start from the premise that it’s hopeless.

So you’ve got to start by saying: I’m going to look at the places that are working and working well, asking why they’re working well, and how to increase the likelihood that they are protected.

I mean the worst scenario would be if we just give up, and then parts of our system that are working well fall into decline.

So what do I mean by resilient? I mean that when we faced a genuine crisis — and there were challenges to what we knew about the outcome of the election — our courts did their job.

The people who believe that there was extensive fraud had the opportunity to go into a system in which the discourse norms are clear. There is such a thing as evidence. There is such a thing as proof. There are standards of what constitutes proof.

We’ve always worried, because the nature of the rhetoric recently has been to say judges are just partisans, so it’s just another, effectively another elected branch; they just pretend they’re nonpartisan.

Well, we had a chance to test that, and what we saw was that the party of the individual [judge] did not predict the judicial outcome. The party that nominated the individual, in cases where we’ve got judges who nominated or recommended through a process, did not predict the outcome.

And that outcome across the courts was highly consistent: Confronted with the same kinds of evidence, the standards of evidence, the standards of proof worked.

And so you saw Republican [judicial] nominees and democratic nominees — you saw Trump nominees and non-Trump nominees — just coming to the same sets of conclusions.

What that says is, we are still capable of reaching reasoned judgments, based on evidence and a standard of proof, and it means one of our branches is solid.

So what do I mean by resilient? Ultimately the outcome was protected. Ultimately there still is a place in which discourse norms — that we traditionally have hoped would characterize all of our branches — were being honored.

I agree with her point. What we just survived, from Election Day to the violence at the Capitol to a successful (if not peaceful) transfer of presidential power from Donald Trump to Joe Biden occurred based on the honest and true results of the election, which is, of course, how it’s supposed to work.

But never in two and half centuries of constitutional history has that transfer been so threatened or even in doubt as to whether it would occur.

And I would add to Jamieson’s discussion of judges that the same was true for a great many key players who were not judges, but were secretaries of state or various other election officials or state legislators, etc.

It’s hard to  know, hard to grasp, and impossible to quantify how close Trump truly got to stealing the election. But, wielding enormous power as president, with the help of a great many (but, crucially, not all) fellow Republicans who seemed willing to aid and abet his efforts to the steal the election, he probably got closer than any previous election loser.

And bear in mind, while he is a world-class self-promoter, cheater (and tweeter, until he got banned), he is lacking in many areas of competence, intelligence, familiarity with the U.S. system of government, etc.

YouTube video

I hope we will study this hard. I hope we will figure out how to make our elections ever more tamper-proof, including especially cases where a lying, thieving loser holding the full power of the presidency is the election-tamperer-in-chief. I’m still, at some level, surprised and impressed that Trump wasn’t able to pull it off, but I can’t help think that a more competent thief might have had better luck.

Jamieson (who came to prominence as the long-time director of the Annenberg Public Policy Center at the University of Pennsylvania, and as the co-founder of Factcheck.org, and a long-time crusader for honest, accurate journalism), happens to be a Minneapolis native.

The discussion with Jacobs covered a great many other topics as well. A video of the full hourlong Jamieson-Jacobs discussion is viewable above or by clicking here.

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13 Comments

  1. I, too, was impressed, and pleasantly surprised. It’s also incontrovertible that it was Trump trying to steal the election, not Biden. That an election concludes in the way the voters intended, however, ought not to be something that surprises, or provokes admiration. The shame of far too many Republicans – in the Senate, in Minnesota, across the nation – is that the GOP, especially at the state level, appears to have abandoned the democratic ideals that underlie the Constitution they like to pretend they revere.

  2. “He probably got closer than any previous election loser.” I do wonder if those lower level Republicans representatives and officials from Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Georgia had caved in to the pressure if that wouldn’t have opened the floodgates. You also had that supreme court decision in Wisconsin that was dependent on one Republican judge with ethics. We might have come perilously close to have Trump’s coup actually succeed. Even if it didn’t happen, the chaos and violence on 1/06 would have been even greater.

    But before anyone should feel good about how resilient our democracy is, let’s wait and see how the onslaught of voter suppression legislation plays out across the country. I believe that’s where the real danger lies as Republicans are going to do anything they can to hold onto states they once took for granted.

    1. Yup – I don’t remember which state it is (and it may be more than one) – but there is proposed legislation out there to empower state legislatures re-apportion electors to the candidate they favor rather than the one the citizens voted for.

      Truly scary stuff.

  3. Well, the judicial system seemed to have worked to save our democracy this time around. But, one has to wonder why Mitch McConnell has been so insistent over more than ten years to put more Republican judges all over the country, if partisan rulings have no sway, as this lawyer asserts. If the courts are all honest, as she claims.

    And, one can count on maybe three hands the number of Republican officials at the non-judicial state and local level whose ability and will to hold the legal line saved our Republic in 2020-2021. Despite enormous pressure from Trump to cheat for him. What a thin line to protect us!

    We came too close to disaster, even given that it was an inept president leading the charge against the United States and its rule of law and election by the people. Someone smarter might well have done us in.

    Cross your fingers; the future is not yet saved for democracy.

    1. Rigging an election is (hopefully) a bridge too far for the judiciary. But McConnell will still get what he wants in the long run (which is how he thinks) as rulings will lean more and more conservative over time.

      And look what happened with the Voting Rights Act and Citizens United as a result of judicial actions. These may not have constituted stealing elections, but they sure have wreaked havoc with the whole electoral process.

  4. The fundamental issues are much larger than election security. The claims of election fraud are themselves built on lies. But some people seem not to care about the lies. How do we restore accountability for public figures to make accurate public statements?

    I have some (small) faith that Diebold’s lawsuits against Giuliani, et al, will have some traction. Rights to “free speech” should not absolve speakers of accountability for their misstatements.

    But the issue is so much broader too – including misstatements about science, law, immigration. Why do we, as a society, accept lies and exaggerations over facts?

    1. “Why do we, as a society, accept lies and exaggerations over facts?”

      Because we, as a society, crave drama and only want to be told what reinforces what we already believe.

      1. 33 states have Republican reps filing bills to restrict voting in some way. Minnesota is represented with yet another attempt at Voter ID. A federal voting rights bill , like the 2 currently in Congress needs to be passed after Covid relief and stimulus.

  5. Yes, we beat back a thoroughly discredited attack on our democratic system, at least this time. But if we don’t deal with the insular world of social media and the alternative reality it promotes and permits, we are goners.

    1. And never better evidenced than by a poll released over the weekend by US Today:

      “Asked to describe what happened during the assault on the Capitol, 58% of Trump voters call it “mostly an antifa-inspired attack that only involved a few Trump supporters.” That’s more than double the 28% who call it “a rally of Trump supporters, some of whom attacked the Capitol.”

      Interesting to note that Kevin McCarthy, who thru a few F bombs at DJT who suggested ANTIFA while McCarthy was hiding under his desk as the mob approached, now does nothing to dispel such total and complete misinformation.

  6. We got by this time. Trump was so obviously a crook. Trump lost so badly. Confident that they will regain majorities in Congress next year, Republicans were comfortable in letting Trump go who was so embarrassing. Let Biden make the tough and necessary decisions now which will provide such fertile grounds for second guessing in next year’s election. It is how one goes about that favorite thing, to eat cake while continuing to have it.

  7. Our democracy survived by the skin of our teeth. And some of our institutions failed due to years of incompetence and neglect (not just T****, but he probably put more than a few final nails in coffins). Our system has handled recent disasters with the skill and grace of some of the best third world dictatorships, and yet the leadership still looks familiar. At what point does our aversion to “radical” ideas simply manifest itself as abject failure ALL the time? I mean, so many Americans just accept high morbidity and mortality rates, low education rates, high unemployment rates (which are grossly underestimated by official measurements), outrageous child poverty rates, soaring gun violence, and extreme social and economic disparities, to name just a few failures, as simply the price of “freedom.”

  8. “I can’t help think that a more competent thief might have had better luck.”

    You mean like in Florida in 2000? Of course that was a much closer election and it hinged on the results of just one state which made it much easier than trying to convince multiple state governments to overturn their results. There is also the 2002 Alabama governor’s race and North Carolina Congressional District #9 in 2018. Guess what they all have in common.

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