A Survey USA poll reported Sunday by KSTP News shows President Obama with a 6-point lead in Minnesota over Republican candidate Mitt Romney.

On virtually every national analysis of the November election, Minnesota is considered a blue state.

The survey also shows DFL U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar with a large lead over GOP challenger Kurt Bills.

And on the marriage amendment, which would put a ban on already-illegal gay marriages, in the state constitution  the survey says 52 percent are in favor, with 37 saying they’ll vote against it.

Asked about the most important issue when voting for president or senator,  health care and job creation were the top choices, both named by 31 percent of respondents.

And the story says:

“ Importantly: those who say health care is most important split evenly between Obama and Romney. Those who say job creation is most important split evenly between Obama and Romney. Neither candidate has an advantage on these issues in Minnesota.”

The survey contacted about 550 likely voters, with a margin of error of about 4 percent.

Pollsters also asked how the public subsidy provided to the Vikings for a new stadium will affect their votes:

The Minnesota Legislature passed a Vikings stadium bill in May. If a lawmaker voted in favor of the Vikings stadium would that make you more likely to vote for him in November? Less likely? Or would it make no difference?  

23% More Likely
33% Less Likely
42% No Difference
2% Not Sure.

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6 Comments

  1. Wow

    Only 46 percent of likely voters favor Obama, with 7% undecided. Which means that the undecided have decided against Obama. They just haven’t reconciled voting for Romney yet.

    Doesn’t look good for the home team.

    1. Bizarro World Logic

      So in Dennis’ world, “undecided” means “decided against”. Careful now, don’t strain yourself with those mental gymnastics. I’ll bet you’re a fan of Bizarro World Superman.

    2. And that, my friends..

      …maybe the strangest, most far-reaching analysis I’ve ever heard.

      1. Not at all

        Ask any political pollster and he’ll tell you that an incumbent who is polling at less than 50% will most likely lose and that the vast majority of “undecided” voters, especially “likely voters” have already decided against the incumbent and will most likely pull the lever for the challenger.

        “In these races, the undecided vote went heavily for the insurgent and … and the election results, 17 points or 89 percent went to the challenger.”

        http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/04/18/undecided_lean_to_insurgent_113883.html

  2. Polling and Marriage Amendment

    The poll questioned only 552 “likely voters” using recorded questions. Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%. While 52% (48-56%) said they would vote for the amendment, 48% (44-52%) said they would vote against it or not vote at all. No votes and skipped votes are counted against the amendment. If you take the margin of error into account (as you should) the 2 sides are overlapping and it is unclear whether the amendment will pass or not. Because null votes count as NO, coverage of amendment polling needs to be done differently than candidate polling during this election cycle.

  3. I’m suprised

    Only 37% of Minnesotans plan to vote against the marriage amendment? 36% of Republicans at the state convention voted to strike all language concerning gay marriage from the party platform. I have a hard time believing anti-amendment has that little support.

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